2022 Melbourne Cup Preview and Betting Tips – DS
2022 Melbourne Cup Preview and Tips
We had a decent day on Saturday. Hurricane Bay should have won but a mistake at the last cost him victory. We still nicked the place money though. Magistrato needed the run but Thyme White didn’t and hosed up at 9s. Up The Straight ran no sort of race and Paint The Dream paid the price for taking on Ahoy Senor. Now, the focus switches to Down Under and the highlight of the Spring Carnival in Australia, the 2022 Melbourne Cup. We landed a nice place last year, hopefully we can go close to winning this time.
2022 Melbourne Cup
Last year Ciaran Maher and David Eustace achieved their best ever Melbourne Cup result. Teodore Nugent steered 16/1 poke Floating Artist into 4th and this year, Maher and Eustace fire no less than five bullets at the Race that stops a Nation. Gold Trip, a horse we backed in the Arc last year, is the shortest priced of their contenders. He is a very classy type but I have major doubts about this 16f trip for him. Yes, Outstrip has surprisingly produced a few winners over 14f+ but I think that when this horse has been trying over 12f, he just hasn’t quite got home.
He’s drawn 14 too, hardly ideal, and from a much better starting spot in stall 6, Interpretation could run a big race. Formerly trained by Aidan O’Brien, this horse had smart Northern Hemisphere form as a 3yo. The son of Galileo was a Listed winner at Leopardstown in August 2021 and he followed that up with a solid 4th in the Leger behind Hurricane Lane. He then made a bold bid on soft ground at Longchamp (15f sft), beat just 2.75L into 4th behind Manobo.
Changed Hands
After that Longchamp run Interpretation was sold privately with the purpose of running in the 2022 Melbourne Cup. He has had four runs since moving to his new yard and the last three were over an inadequate test of 12f. He ran really well at Flemington on his stable debut (12f sft) when beat 2.75L by stablemate High Emocean, to whom he was conceding 6lbs. They re-oppose off levels on Monday. Vow and Declare, a 20/1 shot here, was 0.75L ahead of Interpretation and they meet on the same terms here.
On his next start over the same C&D in the Bart Cummings he kept on really well to be beat just 1L for 3rd. In the Geelong Cup he made his challenge up the inner. However, he lacked the finishing speed of some of his rivals over the 12f trip but he again galloped all the way to the line to finish 6th, just 4L behind the winner Emissary.
Two Miles To Suit
On the evidence of those three runs, the step up to two miles looks sure to suit. Interpretation isn’t slow, he just hasn’t got a proper turn of foot over 12f. Over this longer distance he should be seen to much better effect. He is 3lbs better off with Lunar Flare for a length defeat in the Bart Cummings and he is also 3lbs better off with Emissary, 4.25L ahead of him in the Geelong Cup.
The draw gods have been kind to Maher and Eustace’s charge. He starts from stall 6 so hopefully his jockey Craig Newitt can get a decent position early doors. To be honest, I’m not familiar with the jockey but according to Wiki he has won over 2000 races including 33 G1s. Interpretation carries a feather weight of 7-12 and now that he tackles his furthest trip to date in Australia, he is worth backing e/w at odds of 33/1.
