2024 NFL Conference Championship Weekend

It was another profitable weekend for Jan Keys’ loyal disciples in the Divisional Round. He went 9-1-3 with his selections and his seasonal record now stands at 67 winners, 53 losers and one push. His 2024 NFL Conference Championship previews are below.

Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs

WEATHER REPORT – 60% chance of rain & 49F

Spread & Total Points

Jan’s computer has the line at Baltimore -11.9 points for this mouthwatering matchup. The Vegas bookmakers disagree. They have set the line at Baltimore -3.5 points so that is going to be our spread bet at odds of 1.900.

There isn’t as much difference as far as the total points line is concerned. Jan has it at 48.8 compared to 44.5 with the oddsmakers so we’ll sit this market out.

Player Props

Justin Watson (KC) – Over 13.5 Receiving Yards @ 1.840

Jan has discounted the January 9th matches for the Ravens, Chiefs and 49ers as all three teams rested some key players. Justin Watson has gone over the line in six of his last nine matches and the Jan Keys line is 25.5. Back him to have over 13.5 receiving yards at 1.840.

Noah Gray (KC) – Over 9.5 Receiving Yards @ 1.813

The Jan Keys computer line for Noah Gray is 18 yards. The Tight End has gone over the line in four of the Chiefs’ last five games. He has had 16 yards, 20 yards and 17 yards in the last three matches. Back him to land the over again at odds of 1.813.

2024 NFL Conference Championship Picks

Spread: Baltimore Ravens -3.5 points @ 1.900

Total Points: No Bet

Props: Justin Watson OVER 13.5 Receiving Yards @ 1.840; Noah Gray OVER 9.5 Receiving Yards @ 1.813

San Francisco 49ers vs Detroit Lions

WEATHER REPORT – 9% Chance of Rain and 67F

Spread & Total Points

No bets for Jan Keys in the spread or total points markets for this showdown. His computer has the line at San Francisco -6.4 compared to SF -7 with most bookmakers. Jan’s total points calculation is 47.8, just 3.2 points under the bookies’ line. We’ll focus on the player props markets instead.

Player Props

Christian McCaffrey (SF) – Under 37.5 Receiving Yards @ 1.961

San Francisco’s star man Christian McCaffrey had over 120 yards on the ground and in the air last weekend. However, the majority of his gains came when rushing and he only had 30 receiving yards. In his previous two matches he had 27 yards and 28 yards and he has gone under the line in six of his last nine. The computer line is 30 yards so back the under again today at odds of 1.961.

David Montgomery (DET) – Over 43.5 Rushing Yards @ 1.900

David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs rushed for 107 yards total against the Buccaneers last weekend. Gibbs contributed the majority of those yards (74) with Montgomery rushing for 33 yards. That was only the second time in ten matches he has gone under the line and Jan Keys expects him to get back on track vs San Francisco. His computer line is 54.5 yards so back over 43.5 rushing yards at 1.900.

Jared Goff (DET) – Under 0.5 Rushing Yards @ 1.990

Jared Goff has had plenty of success passing the ball in recent weeks. However, his record when it comes to rushing isn’t quite as impressive. Last week he managed to rush for six yards but his previous 7 matches saw him run for -3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, -2. Back Jared Goff under 0.5 rushing yards at odds of 1.990.

2024 NFL Conference Championship Picks

Spread: No Bet

Total Points: No Bet

Props: Christian McCaffrey UNDER 37.5 receiving yards @ 1.961; David Montgomery OVER 43.5 rushing yards @ 1.900; Jared Goff UNDER 0.5 rushing yards @ 1.990

*All odds are provided by Pinnacle

-JanKeys