2024 NFL Week 10 TNF Picks

Another 1-1 result on MNF now leaves us with a 26-26 overall record for the regular season. Check out Jan’s 2024 NFL Week 10 TNF picks below.

Cincinnati Bengals (4-5) @ Baltimore Ravens (6-3)

Vegas Lines: Baltimore Ravens -6; Total Points: 52.5

Jan Keys’ Ratings: Baltimore Ravens -7.2; Total Points: 54.8

Last week’s Results

Baltimore Ravens 27 – Denver Broncos 10; Cincinnati Bengals 41 – Las Vegas Raiders 24

Offensive And Defensive Averages

Baltimore Ravens: Average Total Yards (Off/Def) 446-357; Passing 254-281; Rushing 192-76

Cincinnati Bengals: Average Total Yards 331-343; Passing 236-212; Rushing 95-131

Projected Totals: Baltimore Ravens 394 – Pass 233; Rush 161; Cincinnati 344 – Pass 258; Rush 86.

These two teams met in Week 5, which was one of the games of the season. Baltimore won in overtime by 41-38, with the two quarterbacks trading touchdown throws in a crazy offensive match. As high as the match points totals are at 52.5, nobody will be expecting a low scoring affair.

When playing well, Baltimore are the best team in the NFL and last week’s win was one of those brilliant performances. QB Lamar Jackson and RB Derrick Henry just know how to deliver and Jackson himself often rushes for 50+ yards. The only weakness is that some teams can produce good passing numbers against them and Cincinnati are one of those teams.

Cincinnati know that they ran the Ravens close in Week 5 and after last week’s rout over Las Vegas, the Bengals come into this match full of confidence. This is a big Divisional game for them as they know a defeat here will put them 3.5 wins behind Baltimore and make it virtually impossible to win the Division.

The Bengals have a quality QB in Joe Burrow who will pass all day but their running game isn’t anywhere near their opponents. The line may move to 6.5, but this is a tricky one to call. No bet.

2024 NFL Week 10 TNF Pick: No Bet

Prop lines

Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards – 231.5 (expected 233)

Rushing Yards

Derrick Henry 93.5 (so far 46, 84, 151, 199 , 92 , 132 , 169 , 73, 106)  5 Ov, 4 Un;

Lamar Jackson 50.5 (so far 122, 45, 87, 55, 54, 40, 52, 46, 4) 5 Ov, 4 Un.

Receiving Yards

Zay Flowers 60.5 (so far 37, 91, 20, 10 , 111, 132, 11, 115, 127) 5 Ov, 4 Un;

Mark Andrews 43.5 (so far 14, 51, 0, 0, 55, 66, 41, 36, 26) 3 Ov, 6 Un;

Rashod Bateman 29.5 (so far 53, 40, 28, 23, 58, 71, 121, 28, 25)  5 Ov, 4 Un.

Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Burrow Passing Yards – 265.5 (expected 258)

Rushing Yards

Chase Brown 58.5 (so far 11, 31, 62, 80, 46, 53, 44, 32, 120) 3 Ov, 6 Un;

Joe Burrow 9.5 (so far 15, 9, 4, 10, 1, 55, -3, 15, 11.) 5 Ov, 4 Un.

Receiving Yards

Ja’Marr Chase 83.5 (so far 62, 35, 118, 85, 193, 72, 55, 54, 43) 3 Ov, 6 Un;

Mike Gesicki 47.4 (so far 18, 91, 47, -9, 31, 0, 2, 73, 100) 3 Ov, 6 Un;

Chase Brown 24.5 (so far 12, 0, 7, 12, 8, 11, 9, 2, 37) 1 Ov, 8 Un.

Chase Brown Under 24.5 Yards Receiving: The Line has gone up due to last week’s 37 yard haul against Las Vegas. When he played against Baltimore at home in Week 5 the Line was 12.5 Yards and he scored 8. This line seems a gift to Under players.

2024 NFL Week 10 TNF Pick: CHASE BROWN UNDER 24.5 YARDS RECEIVING @ 1.91

Mark Andrews Under 43.5 Yards Receiving: A few points to note; he is 6 Under 3 Over for the season (good) but he did rack up 55 yards in Cincinnati earlier in the season (bad). His line that day was 22.5 O/U (Good). Last week his line was 30.5 and he scored 26. So, personally, I think this line is 10 yards too high.

2024 NFL Week 10 TNF Pick: MARK ANDREWS UNDER 43.5 YARDS RECEIVING @ 1.91

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-JanKeys