2024 NFL Week 12 TNF Picks

Jan Keys is now sitting on a 36-32 record for the season after landing both of his player prop bets on MNF. Now, he has set his eyes on the Thursday Night Football clash between the Browns and Steeler. He likes the look of two more player props, check out Jan Keys’ 2024 NFL Week 12 TNF picks below.

Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2) @ Cleveland Browns (2-8)

Vegas Lines: Pittsburgh Steelers -4; Total Points: 36.0

Jan Keys’ Ratings: Pittsburgh Steelers -5.1; Total Points: 41.7

Last week’s Results

New Orleans Saints 35 – Cleveland Browns 14; Pittsburgh Steelers 18 – Baltimore Ravens 16.

Offensive And Defensive Averages

Browns: Average Total Yards (Off/Def) 291-342; Passing 203-211; Rushing 88-131.

Steelers: Average Total Yards 324-305; Passing 187-215; Rushing 137-290.

Projected Totals: Cleveland 298 – Pass 209, Rush 89; Pittsburgh 333 – Pass 199, Rush 134.

Both these teams started the season with similar chances of reaching the playoffs and were rated 3rd and 4th in the Division. Both teams have changed their quarterbacks this season and it was possibly the right decision in both cases. It would be a fair assessment to say that Cleveland have underachieved whereas Pittsburgh are overachieving.

Cleveland’s season is well and truly over and they come into this match after being thrashed by mid-table team the New Orleans Saints, not good by any stretch of the imagination. Being at home may give them some motivation and they need to stay in the game, but all the money will be on the Steelers.

The Pittsburgh Steelers know they have to keep on winning matches to win this division. In last week’s 18-16 win against Baltimore the Steelers failed to score a touchdown. Pittsburgh can thank their defense for a stellar performance.

This match is expected to be a low scoring affair, which makes 4 points that little bit harder to cover. Logic suggests Pittsburgh will cover the points but the Cleveland Browns shouldn’t be taken too lightly. I’ll leave the spread alone and will instead focus on some player props.

2024 NFL Week 12 TNF Pick: No Bet

Prop lines

Cleveland Browns

Jameis Winston Passing Yards – 209.5 (so far: 334, 235, 395) 3 Ov/0 Un

Rushing Yards

Nick Chubb 51.5 (so far: 22, 52, 39, 50) 1 Ov/3 Un

Jerome Ford 14.5 (so far: 44, 64, 37, 58, 47, 14, DNP, DNP, 5, 10) 5 Ov/3 Un

Jameis Winston 8.5 (so far: 2, 27, 8) 1 Ov/2 Un

Receiving Yards

David Njoku 45.5 (so far: 44, DNP, DNP, DNP, 14, 31, 76, 61, 29, 81) 3 Ov/4 Un

Jerry Jeudy 45.5 (so far: 25, 73, 27, 72, 16, 35, 18, 79, 73, 142) 5 Ov/4 Un

Cedric Tillman 43.5 (so far: 3, 2, 4, 0, 0, 0, 81, 99, 75, 47) 4 Ov/6 Un

Elijah Moore 34.5 (so far: 12, 9, 44, 17, 11, 11, 3, 41, 85, 28) 3 Ov/7 Un

Pittsburgh Steelers

Russell Wilson Passing Yards 185.5 (so far: 264, 278, 195, 205) 4 Ov/0 Un

Rushing Yards

Najee Harris 67.5 (so far: 70, 69, 70, 19, 42, 106, 102, 114, 53, 63) 6 Ov/4 Un

Jaylen Warren 36.5 (so far: 7, 42, 5, DNP, DNP, 7, 44, 46, 66, 41) 5 Ov/3 Un

Russell Wilson 12.5 (so far: 3, 7, 3, 1) 0 Ov/4 Un

Receiving Yards

George Pickens 58.5 (so far: 85, 29, 57, 113, 26, 53, 111, 74, 91, 89) 6 Ov/4 Un

Pat Freiermuth 17.5 (so far: 27, 39, 33, 57, 22, 16, 51, 19, 17, 14) 7 Ov/3 Un

Calvin Austin III 14.5 (so far: 7, 6, 95, 17, 6, 36, 36, 54, 20, -1) 6 Ov/4 Un

Jaylen Warren 13.5 (so far: 13, 19, -4, DNP, DNP, 11, 15, 13, 29, 27) 4 Ov/4 Un

Darnell Washington 10.5 (so far: 5, 5, 0, 31, 5, 9, 36, 29, 6, 42) 4 Ov/6 Un

We have plenty of player props to look into this week, hopefully we can find a couple of gems. Pat Freiermuth has gone over 17.5 yards Receiving in 7 out of 10 matches this season. His receptions made was pitched in at 1.5 for this match and has solidly been bought up from this figure. I’m expecting him to be used a few times than that and he can cover the line.

2024 NFL Week 12 TNF Prop Pick: Pat Freiermuth OVER 17.5 receiving yards

I’m not expecting Cleveland to rack up big rushing numbers against this Steelers defense and star RB Nick Chubb has a high of 52 yards rushing in his four matches this season. He just doesn’t seem to produce big numbers since coming back from injury and I also see his workload being shared more with Jerome Ford, who came back from injury himself last week.

2024 NFL Week 12 TNF Pick: Nick Chubb UNDER 51.5 rushing yards

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-JanKeys