2024 NFL Week 14 TNF Preview

After Monday Night Football in Week 13 Jan Keys’ record now stands at 49-40 for the year. On Thursday night the 11-1 Detroit Lions host the 9-3 Green Bay Packers in an epic NFC North showdown, check out Jan Keys’ 2024 NFL Week 14 TNF picks below.

Green Bay Packers (3-8) @ Detroit Lions (7-5)

Vegas Lines: Detroit Lions -3.5; Total Points: 51.5

Jan Keys’ Ratings: Detroit Lions -6; Total Points: 47.6

Last week’s Results

Detroit Lions 23 – Chicago Bears 20; Green Bay Packers 30 – Miami Dolphins 17.

Offensive And Defensive Averages

Lions: Average Total Yards (Off/Def) 395-320; Passing 241-227; Rushing 154-93.

Packers: Average Total Yards 382-324; Passing 234-217; Rushing 148-107.

Projected Totals: Detroit 360 – Pass 229, Rush 131; Green Bay 351 – Pass 231, Rush 120.

Detroit come into this match with an impressive 11-1 record, although they barely got home last week against Chicago thanks to some poor clock management by the Bears. Detroit are currently Superbowl favourites. They have a tough final five matches before the playoffs and they may be a touch overrated. Detroit also have quite a few defensive absentees and have signed a few players this week to cover the injuries, not ideal for any team.

Green Bay know how big a game this is for them. A loss would end any chance of topping the NFC North. They will need to win all five remaining games to have a chance of winning the Division. The Packers know they will have to go all guns blazing and although they lost 24-14 to Detroit earlier in the season, their yardage figures were better (411-261) so they do have some optimism.

2024 NFL Week 14 TNF Pick: No Bet

Prop lines

Detroit Lions

Jared Goff – 247.5 (217, 307, 199, 292, 315, 280, 85, 145, 240, 412, 269, 221) 6 Ov/6 Un

Rushing Yards

D Montgomery 59.5 (91, 35, 105, 40, 80, 31, 33, 73, 32, 75, 37, 86) 6 Ov/6 Un

J Gibbs 68.5 (40, 84, 83, 78, 63, 116, 127, 66, 71, 69, 90, 87) 9 Ov/3 Un

J Goff 2.5 (7, 5, 6, -2, 5, -4, 1, -2, 2, 21, 0, 1) 5 Ov/7 Un

Receiving Yards

A St Brown 73.5 (13, 119, 75, 45, 37, 112, 7, 56, 60, 161, 62, 73) 4 Ov/8 Un

J Williams 48.5 (121, 79, 9, 80, 76, -4, 6, DNP, 53, 124, 64, 28) 7 Ov/3 Un

S Laporta 36.5 (45, 13, 36, 53, 52, 25, 48, 28, 66, DNP, 19, 6) 5 Ov/6 Un

J Williams 16.5 (so far: 0, 48, 29, 3, 50, 13, 23, 8, 42, 6, 28, 6) 6 Ov/6 Un

Green Bay Packers

Jordan Love 251.5 (260, 389, 224, 258, 220, 196, 273, 261, 163, 274) 6 Ov/4 Un

Rushing Yards

J Jacobs 65.5 (84, 151, 43, 51, 73, 62, 76, 127, 95, 76, 106, 43) 8 Ov/4 Un

J Love 6.5 (0, 6, 10, 13, 0, -1, 0, 18, 2, 0) 3 Ov/7 Un

Receiving Yards

J Reed 49.5 (138, 9, 50, 139, 78, 28, 10, 55, 113, 23, 26) 6 Ov/6 Un

C Watson 44.5 (13, DNP, 67, 0, DNP, 68, 9, 39, 37, 150, 0, 67) 4 Ov/6 Un

T Kraft 35.5 (37, 16, 24, 53, 88, 13, 33, 78, 34, 0, 26, 78) 5 Ov 7 Un

Prop Picks

There are a couple of reasons for this selection. Firstly, I am projecting Detroit to have 229 yards. Secondly, when the teams met earlier in the season, Jared Goff only passed for 137 Yards. Backing the under looks a logical move.

2024 NFL Week 12 TNF Prop Pick: Jared Goff UNDER 247.5 passing yards @ 1.93

Josh Jacobs has gone over 65.5 rushing yards in eight of his twelve appearances this season, including a 95 yard haul when the teams met earlier in the season. The value here surely lies with the over.

2024 NFL Week 12 TNF Pick: Josh Jacobs OVER 65.5 rushing yards @ 1.83

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-JanKeys