2024 NFL Week 17 MNF Preview & Picks – JK

by | Dec 30, 2024

2024 NFL Week 17 MNF Preview

Jan Keys’ record for the regular season now stands at 61-65 after his last preview. Check out Jan’s 2024 NFL Week 17 MNF picks below.

Detroit Lions (13-2) @ San Francisco 49ers (6-9)

Vegas Lines: Detroit -3.5; Total Points: 50.5
Jan Keys’ Ratings: Detroit -6; Total Points: 49.5

Last week’s Results

Miami Dolphins 29 – San Francisco 49ers 17; Chicago Bears 17 – Detroit Lions 34.

Offensive And Defensive Averages

49ers: Average Total Yards (Off/Def) 392-326; Passing 253-196; Rushing 139-130.

Lions: Average Total Yards 438-363; Passing 284-258; Rushing 154-105.

Projected Totals: San Francisco 377 – Pass 256, Rush 121; Detroit 382 – Pass 240, Rush 142.

Detroit come into this match knowing that next week’s match up against Minnesota decides who wins the NFC North with the losers Seeded No.5 in the playoffs. They will be hoping for an injury free match here and a confidence boosting win.

San Francisco’s season is over. When they have a fully fit roster they probably have the best team in the League but this season they have suffered offensive injuries to key players and it has been hard to keep the results positive. I worry about their rushing with their top 2 RBs sidelined and Isaac Guerendo not fully fit, it really hampers the team.

I feel both teams will be playing at 90% and given the Lions’ form this season, they should win and cover the spread against the suffering 49ers.

2024 NFL Week 17 MNF Pick: Detroit Lions -3.5

Prop lines

Brock Purdy (49ers) – 253.5

Jared Goff (Lions) – 245.5

Rushing Yards

I Guerendo (SF) 65.5; B Purdy (SF) 18.5.

J Gibbs (DET) 93.5; J Goff (DET) 0.5

Receiving Yards

G Kittle (SF) 67.5; J Jennings (SF) 64.5; D Samuel (SF) 48.5.

A St Brown (DET) 72.5; J Williams (DET) 51.5; S Laporta (DET) 44.5.

I feel Brock Purdy will mainly rely on his Passing game especially as Isaac Guerendo is still carrying an injury. He is a capable Rusher and spent most of the season as back up to Jordan Mason but he had 16 carries for 57 yards in Week 15 and missed Week 16 due to injury, so I’m not sure he will want to carry the ball that often.

2024 NFL Week 17 MNF Pick: Isaac Guerendo UNDER 65.5 rushing yards

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-JanKeys

 

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