2024 NFL Week 9 MNF Picks

Jan Keys went 2-3 with his picks for Sunday’s NFL action and he is now dead even for the season at 25-25. We now turn our attention to Monday night when the undefeated Chiefs will the Buccaneers. Check out Jan’s 2024 NFL Week 9 MNF picks below.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-4) @ Kansas City Chiefs (7-0)

Vegas Lines: Kansas City Chiefs -8.5; Total Points: 46.0

Jan Keys’ Ratings: Kansas City Chiefs -9.8; Total Points: 49.2

Last week’s Results

Las Vegas Raiders 20 – Kansas City Chiefs 27; Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26 – Atlanta Falcons 31

Offensive And Defensive Averages

Kansas City Chiefs: Average Total Yards (Off/Def) 348-295; Passing 226-213; Rushing 122-82

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Average Total Yards 388-380; Passing 258-255; Rushing 130-125

Jan Keys Projected Totals: Kansas City Chiefs 364 – Pass 240; Rush 124. Tampa Bay 341 – Pass 235; Rush 106.

Tampa Bay (4-4) visit the Superbowl Double Champions Kansas City Chiefs and face the daunting task of trying to knock the Champions off their perch. The Buccs offense, led by QB Baker Mayfield, has been hitting some high number yardage but unfortunately, their defense has been awful.

The Buccs come into this match without their two top Receivers Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Even without those two key receivers they still passed for 330 yards last week.

Kansas City are now unbeaten in 13 matches, which is quite impressive, and there is little reason to think Number 14 isn’t on the way. QB Patrick Mahomes hasn’t been at his brilliant best, but the Chiefs’ defense have been exceptional during this run of results.

The Chiefs just have that winning habit, not always spectacular but rock solid, and this is why the line is just set at -8.5. Andy Reid’s men always seem to do just about enough to get the W.

2024 NFL Week 9 MNF Pick: No spread pick

Prop lines

Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards – 249.5

Rushing Yards: Kareem Hunt 62.5; Patrick Mahomes 19.5; Carson Steele 12.5.

Receiving Yards: Travis Kelce 61.5; DeAndre Hopkins 44.5; Xavier Worthy 34.5; Noah Gray 22.5;

Justin Watson 19.5; Kareem Hunt 12.5; Mercole Hardman 7.5; Samaje Perine 7.5.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield Passing yards – 236.5

Rushing Yards: Rachaad White 27.5; Bucky Irving 32.5;  Baker Mayfield 15.5.

Receiving Yards: Cade Otton 52.5; Jalen McMillan 39.5; Rachaad White 24.5; Bucky Irving 15.5.

We have plenty of Props to choose from (Bet365 o/u)

Bucky Irving’s line has been set at 15.5 yards receiving and that seems a very low number with Evans and Godwin out. He has covered this number the last three weeks with receiving yards of 40, 54 and 24. Four weeks ago he had just 12 yards of receptions, but Evans and Godwin were playing. 

2024 NFL Week 9 MNF Pick: Bucky Irving to have Over 15.5 receiving yards @ 1.91

Kansas City are projected to have 240-250 passing yards and they will probably go to Travis Kelce more often than not. Punters will be backing him the go over 61.5 yards, he had 10 catches last week for 90 yards, so Kelce to have over 61.5 yards will be backed.

Kareem Hunt’s receiving figures for his last ten matches are 12, 5, 0, 5, 9, DNP, 16, 15, 5, 4.

That works out at Over 2, Under 7. So, the under bet is the value selection.

2024 NFL Week 9 MNF Pick: Kareem Hunt to have under 12.5 receiving yards @ 1.91

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-JanKeys