2024 Super Bowl LVIII Betting Preview

Our NFL betting expert Jan Keys has hit form at the most important stage of the season. He has gone 14-6 with one push during the Playoffs and he is looking for more winners in his 2024 Super Bowl LVIII betting preview. The Chiefs and the 49ers came through the Conference Championship round last weekend, hopefully they put on a show on Sunday night.

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS VS SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

It’s Superbowl time and it’s worth Looking Around for the Best Odds for your Selections. Jan Keys will give you his opinions based on his Computer Selections and Stats coming into the match.

2024 Super Bowl LVIII Betting Odds

The Vegas oddsmakers make San Francisco 2 point favourites for Super Bowl LVIII. They are 1.763 on the moneyline with the Chiefs the underdogs at odds of 2.180 (odds provided by Pinnacle).

The total points line has been set at 47 by the bookies.

Our man Jan Keys doesn’t agree with the bookmakers’ outlook. His computer makes the Chiefs the 2 point favourites and it makes the total points line 44.9.

Both these markets look too close to call so Jan is not going to get involved. Instead, he is going to focus on some value player prop bets.

2024 Super Bowl LVIII Betting: Player Props

Isiah Pacheco (KC) to score a TD anytime @ 1.854

Jan’s first selection for Super Bowl LVIII is Isiah Pacheco to score a touchdown at anytime at odds of 1.854. The Chiefs running back has had a stellar campaign and he scored seven TDs in the regular season and he has scored a touchdown in all three playoff games. Back him to score another one on Sunday.

Brock Purdy (SF) to have UNDER 30.5 passing attempts @ 1.813

San Francisco 49ers’ QB Brock Purdy has mixed the good with the bad in recent weeks. He has produced a couple of crucial game winning drives but overall, he hasn’t been as effective as he was earlier in the season.

In his last ten matches, Purdy has gone under this line eight times – 31, 29, 28, 32, 25, 27, 27, 30, 25, 26. That’s an 80% strike rate and though it will likely be close, odds of 1.813 about UNDER 30.5 Brock Purdy pass attempts are worth taking.

Brock Purdy (SF) to have OVER 248.5 passing yards @ 1.909

In his last ten matches, Brock Purdy has gone over the passing yards line. In the Conference Championship last weekend, the Purdy passing yard line was 275.5 yards. 248.5 yards is the lowest this line has been for some time and Jan Keys thinks Purdy will go over again.

In his last 10 games he has thrown for 267, 252, 230, 255, 242, 368, 314, 209, 333, 296, back him to throw OVER 248.5 yards on Sunday at odds of 1.909.

Deebo Samuel (SF) to have UNDER 16.5 Rushing yards @ 1.854

San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Deebo Samuel has gone under this line in seven of his last ten matches. Against the Lions he had three carries for just 7 rushing yards and Jan Keys is expecting more of the same against The Chiefs. Back Deebo Samuel to have UNDER 16.5 rushing yards at odds of 1.854.  

Didn’t Make The Cut

Those four prop bets are Jan Keys’ official selections for the 2024 Super Bowl LVIII. However, there were a couple of close calls that made his shortlist but didn’t make the final cut.

The line about Patrick Mahomes total rushing yards is under 26.5. The crack quarterback has gone under the rushing yard line in seven of his last ten games – 15, 19, 41, 2, 53, -5, 8, 26, 9, 38.

It was also a close call as far as Christian McCaffrey is concerned. The line for his rushing yards has been set at 90.5 and he has gone OVER the line in seven of his last ten – 90, 98, 64, 103, 116, 145, 93, 114, 78, 95.

However, the Chiefs defense has only allowed an average of 73 yards per game in the post-season so Jan is leaving this market alone.

Enjoy The Game

That’s it from Jan Keys this season. As ever, make sure to bet responsibly and we hope you all enjoy Super Bowl LVIII on Sunday. Fingers crossed we can finish off the season with a few winning wagers and we’ll be back with more bets for Week 1 next season!

-Jan Keys