2024 World Grand Prix Tuesday Preview

It was a decent start for James Punt at the World Grand Prix on Monday. His headline pick Luke Humphries just about survived and he also landed a couple of nice winners. Hopefully we can do even better tonight, check out his 2024 World Grand Prix Tuesday preview and tips below.

Dave Chisnall vs. Cameron Menzies

Dave Chisnall is one of the most in-form players coming into the Grand Prix. He won PC23 at the end of last month and reached two quarter finals last week. He has won eight of his last ten matches and has a seasonal win rate of 68%.

Chizzy has been in two Grand Prix finals and two other semi-finals, but he remains famously winless in Major Championships. He has gone out in the first round for the last two years.

This time last year, Chizzy had won ET11 and then PC23 a couple of weeks before the Grand Prix and was being tipped up as likely winner, but he lost 0-2 to Luke Woodhouse in the first round. This year, he has won ET10 and PC23. Is history about to repeat itself?

Much Improved Menzies

Cameron Menzies is a much improved player over the last year or so. He has a seasonal win rate of 70% but remains without a tournament win. His most recent form sees five wins from his last ten matches and his form has tailed off from where it was a month or so ago. He is making his Grand Prix debut and he hasn’t really made much impression in the Major Championships.

Their H2H record is 5-2 to Chisnall, but Menzies ended a run of five defeats to Chizzy when he beat him 6-1 in PC15 in July. There is nothing between them in terms of scoring and checkout %, but Chisnall has been in better form in the last few weeks.

Chisnall is the 1.73 favourite, Menzies 2.10. Chisnall is opposable in TV tournaments and Menzies would have been the call a month ago, but his recent form is enough for me to pass on this one.

2024 World Grand Prix Tuesday Tip: No Bet

Luke Woodhouse vs. Dimitri van den Bergh

Woodhouse took down Dave Chisnall on his Grand Prix debut last year, and he must have a very good chance to make the second round for the second year running.

Van den Bergh is in poor form, winning just four of his last seventeen matches. It is easy to forget that he won the UK Open and PC12 in the first half of the year. Van den Bergh is a better player on stage, but he has lost his last four stage matches on the Euro Tour. It seems he is overthinking things, using sports psychology to try and find the key to his game, but he has got lost down the rabbit hole.

Injury Worry

Woodhouse reached the semi-final of PC26 last week but there is one cloud on his horizon. He lost 0-6 to Wessel Nijman at the Swiss Darts Trophy just over a week ago and was clearly in pain, struggling to throw the dart. He said it just happened out of the blue while on the practice board before the match.

It must have gone as quickly as it came, as he was fit to play in the Players Championship events a couple of days later, and ended the three days with a semi-final. However, there has to be a chance that the problem could reappear, and backing Woodhouse does carry that additional risk.

Decent Season

Woodhouse is having a decent season, reaching two Euro Tour quarter-finals and two Players Championship semi-finals. He is up to 33rd on the PDC OOM, so close to the all-important top 32. A win here would be a big step in the right direction.

His recent form is very confusing. Even before that arm problem, he had lost five consecutive matches and looked to be struggling, but he got it back last Thursday and took Luke Humphries to a deciding leg in the semi-final.

Their H2H record is 5-2 to Van den Bergh. They have not played since 2022, and Woodhouse is a better player right now, while Van den Bergh is currently quite a bit worse.

Van den Bergh is still the market favourite and that makes little sense, given his struggles with his game. I will take the risk with Woodhouse’s arm and back the outsider. The 2.25 about Woodhouse yesterday has gone, and 2.10 is now the top price.

2024 World Grand Prix Tuesday Tip: 1 point Luke Woodhouse to win @ 2.10 with Boylesports, BET365, Betvictor

Mike de Decker vs. Damon Heta

Heta has been scoring well, but not getting a lot of joy. He has lost his last three Euro Tour matches but he won seven of his ten matches in the Players Championships last week. Heta has lost all three of his previous Grand Prix first round matches. He is bound to be a bit tight, given that record and his recent stage form.

Mike de Decker picked up his first PDC title when winning PC16 in August and most recently he has won seven of his last ten matches. His record in Major Championships has been poor with a lot of early exits, including losing his first round match here last year, a 0-2 loss to Joe Cullen.

Their H2H record is 2-1 to Heta but it was De Decker who won their only match in 2024, a 6-2 win on the Euro Tour in May.

Heta is the 1.62 favourite, De Decker 2.30. This is a tricky one. Two good players and closely matched, but both have disappointed on the stage. The odds on De Decker may hold a little bit of value, but not enough to tempt me in. No bet.

2024 World Grand Prix Tuesday Tip: No Bet

Peter Wright vs. James Wade

Wright is slowly getting back to form after many months in the darting wilderness. He has won six of his last ten matches and he is consistently hitting mid 90 averages. He won the German Darts Championship on the 1st September and reached the semi-final of the World Series finals two weeks later.

Snakebite hasn’t played any Players Championships events since August and his last eighteen matches have all been on the stage, and he has won fourteen. Quite decent form in other words. Wright was a semi-finalist here in 2022, so he is defending £40k ranking prizemoney.

James Wade is a two time World Grand Prix winner, the last in 2010, but in the last nine years, he has won just two matches and not got beyond the second round. His recent form sees seven wins from his last ten matches.

Absent From PC Events

He was another to skip last week’s Players Championship events and we last saw him reaching the quarter finals of the Swiss Darts Trophy, his best run in a pretty poor Euro Tour season. In his last six ranked Majors, Wade has made one final (last year’s European Championship), two semi-finals including this year’s World Matchplay, and a quarter final, so he can still cut it in the big ones.

Two veterans of the game, both having dropped down the rankings, but both hanging in there. Their H2H record is 26-24 to Peter Wright. They have not met in 2024 and their last match was in the European Championship final last year, won 11-6 by Wright.

A couple of months ago, this would have been an easy match for Wade, but Wright has rediscovered some decent form, good enough to give him a realistic chance to progress in this tournament. James Wade is the 1.91 favourite, Peter Wright 2.00. Both have been playing well recently and both enjoying good runs. The market can barely split them and it does have the look of being a close match.

2024 World Grand Prix Tuesday Tip: 1 point over 2.5 sets @ 1.91 generally available

Gerwyn Price vs. Danny Noppert

Gerwyn Price has a remarkable recent tournament record. He won in 2020, was runner up in 2021, semi-finalist is 2022 and runner up again last year. That was his last ranking final and his last Major ranking title was back in 2021 with The Grand Slam of Darts.

Since he lost the final here last year, Price has played fourteen ranked Major matches and won eight. His recent form in all events sees five wins from his last ten. He is still scoring well, but not his best and short of the kind of scoring others are doing when winning things.

It seems to me that he just isn’t that interested anymore. His main interest is business these days and he doesn’t enjoy all the travelling involved in being an elite player these days. Is retirement looming large in his mind?

Freeze In Form

Danny Noppert has won seven of his last ten matches and has hit five ton plus averages. His A-game is currently better than Price’s. However, he does have this annoying habit of throwing in a weak performance on a fairly regular basis.

Noppert has played in fourteen quarter finals in various events and won just three. He has lost two of his three semi-finals but he did win his only final. That is a lot of money accumulated, but frustrating for him, and anyone backing him outright.

Their H2H record is 11-5 to Price. Noppert has won their last two, including their only match this year. This a repeat of last year’s first round match, which Price won 2-0, the same score as when they met at this stage in 2018. Price has handed out some spankings to Noppert over the years, but the Dutchman has got a couple of wins against Price in Major Championships, including last year’s European Championships.

Will Iceman Be Up For It?

This is about whether Price is fully up for this tonight. He has seemed a bit flat of late, his competitive instincts just a little dulled. Noppert has the ability to win this, of that there is no doubt, and if he can unleash his A-game from the very start, he is in with a good chance. If not, he is in bother.

Price is the 1.67 favourite, but the money is going down on Noppert, and his odds are just about good enough to have a go with the Dutchman.

2024 World Grand Prix Tuesday Tip: 1 point Danny Noppert to win @ 2.38 with Boylesports, Betvictor, Hills

Michael Smith vs. Gary Anderson

An interesting matchup. Gary Anderson has the highest 12 month average in professional darts at 99.17. He has won two Players Championship titles and Euro Tour titles in 2024. His best form is on the floor these days.

His Euro Tour win was notable by how lucky he was that his opponents didn’t turn up in the final, semi or quarter finals. He was knocked out of the World Championship by Brendan Dolan, only made the last sixteen in the UK Open and then lost in the first round of the World Matchplay (to Michael Smith).

His last ranking Major final was back in 2021 and in his last thirteen, a 2023 Grand Slam quarter final is his best run. Anderson’s recent form is very good, winning eight of his last ten matches, and hitting seven ton plus averages, all in floor matches.

Smith Hasn’t Kicked On

It took Smith a long time to win his first ranking Major, the 2022 Grand Slam of Darts, and he followed that up by winning the 2023 World Championship. There have been two ranking Major semi-finals since, including here last year, and this year’s Matchplay. He has not really kicked on since his breakthrough, and we now have the likes of Luke Humphries and Luke Littler as the big beasts in the big events.

Smith had a terrible tournament record in the Grand Prix up to last year, winning just two first round matches from ten appearances, and never made the third round. Will that run to the semi-final last year have put all those bad memories to bed? Smith’s recent form sees just five wins from his last ten matches and he is playing OK, but not at the same standard as Anderson.

H2H Close

Their H2H record is 16-15 to Smith, and he has won their last six in a row. This is a tricky call. If you look at Anderson’s recent form. There is only one winner, but their recent H2H record suggest that Smith now has Anderson’s number.

Anderson’s stage form has not been what it once was, but Smith’s form has not been his best for a while now. He is defending a lot of ranking prize money between now and January 3rd. Poor runs and he is out of the top ten, and very possibly out of the Premier League. The gravy train might be coming to a halt.

Anderson is the 1.62 favourite and Smith drifting to 2.37. This will be an interesting match to watch, but it is a no bet for me.

2024 World Grand Prix Tuesday Tip: No Bet

Michael van Gerwen vs. Daryl Gurney

Another top quality match, wasted in this very short format. Gurney had problems playing MVG back the day, most people did, but Gurney beat MVG in the final of the 2018 Players Championship Finals and since then, it is 9-9. Superchin won their only match in 2024, 6-2 back in March.

Both players are not the players they were back in 2018, but MVG remains at elite level, Gurney just holding his own in the top 32. Van Gerwen returned to winning form a few weeks ago, winning PC21 four weeks ago, and followed that up by winning the Hungarian Darts Trophy the following weekend.

He wasn’t feeling well that weekend and has not played since, but he would usually prepare for this event at home. MVG has won his last twelve matches, and that is his best form for a while.

No Win Since 2019 For Superchin

Daryl Gurney is beginning to have better runs in tournaments, but he hasn’t won a title since 2019. He has won eight of his last ten matches but consistency is not a big part of his game right now. He will need his A-game tonight, but he has hit just six ton plus averages in his last fifty matches.

MVG has an excellent Grand Prix record, winning it six times, and while he hasn’t won a ranking Major since 2022, he has made four finals in his last ten. Daryl Gurney won this title in 2017 and also reached a quarter and semi-final, but that was back in Dublin, in a venue with a bit of atmosphere.

MVG is the 1.40 favourite, Gurney 3.25. It is hard to see past the favourite here, but 1.40 is short enough given the very short format. Gurney is no mug and if he gets out of the blocks quickly, he is not without a chance, but this is another no bet for me.

2024 World Grand Prix Tuesday Tip: No Bet

Chris Dobey vs. Joe Cullen

A bit of a mismatch in terms of recent form. Chris Dobey has won three Players Championship titles in 2024, including one just last Wednesday. He has won eight of his last ten matches, hitting seven 98+averages.

Hollywood also has a good tournament record, reaching the semi-final on debut in 2019 and back to back quarter finals in 2022 and 2023. This format is not as alien to Dobey as it is to most. The local darts leagues in the North East of England use the double in format in tournaments, so he will be used to it and that may explain his good record.

Joe Cullen has won half of his eight first round matches in this event and reached the semi-final last year. His recent form is not great, losing five of his last ten matches, with six sub 90 averages. His 12 month average has dropped to 91.59, only the 56th highest, so it is not just a recent dip in form.

Their H2H record is 8-3 to Cullen, and their last match was here, in last year’s quarter final, which Cullen won 3-2, but right now, there looks to be just one likely result.

Dobey is one of our outright selections and hopefully he will justify odds of 1.40.

I am not normally one for multiples, but a double on the final two matches of the night looks acceptable at very nearly even money.

2024 World Grand Prix Tuesday Tip: 2 points MVG and Dobey both to win @ 1.96 with Livescorebet, Boylesports, Hills

-JamesPunt