2025 German Darts GP Betting Preview – JP

by | Apr 18, 2025

2025 German Darts GP Betting Preview

The Premier League was a struggle on Thursday but we are back to proper darts this weekend.  Check out James Punt’s 2025 German Darts GP betting preview and tips below.

2025 German Darts GP

This tournament starts on Saturday and ends on Monday, not the usual Friday to Sunday schedule.

There have been just five previous German Darts Grand Prix. The first three between 2017 and 2019 were all won by Michael van Gerwen. There was then a break until 2022 when Luke Humphries won his first ever Euro Tour title. Humphries also won last year’s title, beating MVG 8-1 in the final.

We have a certain Mr. Luke Littler in the entry list. I am surprised. He has not played in any of the Euro Tour events since winning the Belgian Darts Open in early March. He did something similar last year, winning ET1 missing out ET2 and ET3, before returning for ET4, which was the European Darts Grand Prix. Littler skipped the Players Championship events in the Netherlands earlier this week, and he has kept his schedule light outside of the Premier League.

Surprise Return

It is a little surprising that he is returning to Munich. He was last here for the Premier League two weeks ago. He lost his quarter final match 2-6 to Chris Dobey in what was his worst PL performance of his twenty three matches so far in 2025.

The Nuke was also knocked out at the semi-final stage in Munich last year. Littler is yet to win a Euro Tour title on German soil and after he lost to Dobey two weeks ago, he admitted that he had brain fade and that the crowd had wound him up. He said that ‘the Germans don’t like us English’.

Has he got a bit of a thing about Germans? Maybe he is right and the Germans don’t like the English, but they don’t seem to have a problem with Humphries, or Chisnall, or Aspinall etc. Maybe they are just not as enthralled to Littler as the crowds in the UK. Whatever it is, it may be a weakness.

Big Names Present

The PL players are in Rotterdam this weekend and I wonder if the big names are maybe playing in some big exhibitions on the Friday night, seeing as they get Saturday off this weekend. They can sell a lot of tickets in Germany for the big exhibitions. That may explain why he is in Munich.

Luke Humphries withdrew from the tournament after his poor performance in last night’s PL. Nathan Aspinall has picked up another injury and he has pulled out. The final late withdrawal is Dimitri van den Bergh and given his form, that is no surprise.

Razma, Huybrechts and Suljovic are now first round entrants from the reserve list.

1 Luke Littler

Lost his semi-final match to Steven Bunting in last night’s PL, where he gave us a sight of his new darts. He averaged 108.56 when beating Cross 6-5 in the quarter final, and 101.39 in his 5-6 loss to Bunting, but he did change his equipment midway through the Bunting Match, so the jury is still out as to how comfortable he is with them.

There will be some pressure on him to put them into play as the manufacturer will want to cash in on the Littler phenomenon.

Not for the first time, Littler was not happy with a European crowd, the Dutch may now join his list of people that ‘don’t like us English’. Littler has lost five of his last ten matches, two in Players Championship games, which he doesn’t really care about and the rest in the PL. Not in his best form, but that doesn’t mean he can’t win.

2 Michael van Gerwen

MVG’s lack of form continues. He has lost six of his last ten matches and while his recent shirt related injury has not helped, his form has been poor for a while. He did reach the semi-final of ET2 and he can still play, but he is not the player he was.

3 Rob Cross

Has lost seven of his last ten matches, but he is not playing badly. He averaged 110 in last night’s 5-6 loss to Luke Littler and he is having that kind of season. At least we know that he is feeling better having pulled out of ET3 and this week’s Players Championship events. He could have a good run but he is a nightmare to predict.

4 Jonny Clayton

Was on fire on Tuesday, winning PC14. He averaged 103.59 across his seven matches and won an incredible 80% of legs played (losing just eleven legs in seven matches). The Ferret reached the quarter final on Monday and has won twelve of his last thirteen matches. Clayton has won twice on the Euro Tour, both in Austria, and that comes next weekend.

5 Dave Chisnall

Is playing a little bit better but still way short of his best. He has won four of his seven matches in Europe so far in 2025, but he doesn’t look like he is ready for a proper deep run.

6 Gerwyn Price

Continues to play great without getting too many rewards. He has won six of his last ten matches, hit six ton plus averages, but while he has won three Players Championship titles in 2025, he isn’t picking up stage titles and that is what he wants. It can’t be long until he does, but he hasn’t got the best of draws this weekend.

7 Damon Heta

Winner of PC13 on Monday. The Heat wasn’t that impressive in doing so, certainly not compared to Clayton’s performance on Tuesday. Heta averaged 94.56 across his seven matches and there was a lot of OK darts, a couple of good wins and Aspinall didn’t show up in the final.

Still, a win is a win and he has played a lot better for little reward. If you knock on enough doors, one will open. That win may give him a confidence boost and it will need to, as his Euro Tour performances in 2025 have been poor, winning just three matches and not impressing at all.

8 Peter Wright

A surprise finalist in PC11 two weeks ago, Wright has won six of his last ten matches and was a quarter finalist in the International Darts Open two weeks ago. He is showing some good form, but perhaps not enough to get fully on the radar. He is likely to face Mike de Decker in his opening match and he is 0-3 vs the Belgian in 2025.

9 Danny Noppert

A losing semi-finalist in Tuesday’s PC14. He played OK but was always going to be vulnerable to someone playing well. His overall win rate in 2025 is 54% and he is 0-3 in Europe this season.

10 James Wade

Is playing OK, winning six of his last ten matches. Wade was a semi-finalist in ET, but has lost his last two opening matches. Hard to fancy.

11 Josh Rock

Has won seven of his last ten matches and he has been playing some sensational darts. I had him to win PC14 on Tuesday but his amazing run of scoring suddenly came to a halt with an 89 average and 2-6 loss to Robert Grundy. That ended a run of eight straight ton plus averages.

He has hit fifteen ton plus averages in his last twenty five matches and his 2025 win rate is up to 69%. He has won one Players Championship title in 2025 and was runner up in PC12 last week, but on the Euro Tour, he has won just two matches from five played.

Rock needs that floor form to fire up on the stage. If it does, he is right in the mix.

12 Ross Smith

Has reached a semi-final and a quarter final on the Euro Tour, both from the first round, and he has had two Players Championship semi-finals. Most recently he has won six of his last ten matches and is showing better consistency.

He lost a couple of tight matches in the Players Championships this week and he is hard to beat. He has been hitting a lot of 180s lately and Smudger is at his most dangerous when he is hitting maximums.

13 Andrew Gilding

Reached the semi-final of PC13 on Monday and has won seven of his last ten matches. Four of his last ten saw sub 90 averages and that lack of consistency makes deep runs difficult, but his game is picking up.

14 Michael Smith

Promoted to seeded status but his form remains unpredictable. He has won seven of his last ten matches and reached the semi-final of PC14 on Tuesday, but while he is hitting some big numbers again, there are still some big flat spots.

In PC14 he had four good performances and three fairly poor performances, and eventually he got found out in the semi-final, losing 4-7 to Dominic Gruellich and averaging 90.53. Smith has won just two matches from the first three Euro Tour events so far and he doesn’t look ready to win.

15 Ryan Searle

Has won six of his last ten matches and just two matches from his first three Euro Tour events in 2025. He was targeting winning one of these titles this season after having a lot of good runs in 2024. Searle won PC4 in February, he always wins early in the season, but hasn’t done much since. His scoring is inconsistent and his most recent matches have seen some very ordinary performances.

16 Joe Cullen

Thank goodness the three withdrawals have allowed the GOAT take his rightful place as a seeded player. It is where he belongs. It also means he is scheduled to meet Luke Littler in round three. I imagine he can cope with that just fine.

Cullen didn’t travel to the Netherlands for the Players Championships, probably because he thinks that they should all be held in the UK. It might have been because it would have been a waste of money. There must be glitch in the Matrix as it seems Cullen has lost seven of his last ten matches and hit six sub 90 averages. Surely some mistake?

Best of the Rest

Martin Schindler

Has won seven of his ten Euro Tour matches in 2025 and he is able to take advantage of home advantage. We backed him last time out in Riesa and he made the semi-final, where he was disappointing against Aspinall. He has won seven of his last ten matches but he is not playing as well as he was two weeks ago. However, he has to be respected on home soil on the Euro Tour.

Gian van Veen

Has won seven of his last ten matches and overall, Van Veen continues to mature and improve, slowly but steadily. He has played some great darts on the Euro Tour but hasn’t got the results that might have been expected. He could do with a break and not lose while playing great. His time will come and he is always on the shortlist.

Cameron Menzies

Was another of our selections two weeks ago and he played well but narrowly lost to eventual winner Stephen Bunting. Menzies’ win rate is up to 75% and he is finally confident enough in his game that he is giving up the day job and going full time as a darts pro. He won PC11 ten days ago and remains a contender.

Dirk van Duijvenbode

Winner of seven of his last ten matches and he played some great stuff on Tuesday, hitting four consecutive ton plus averages. I had a little flutter on him and he was a strong favourite to beat Dominic Gruellich in the quarter final.

Sadly, he just went all Dirk, got as tight as drum, missing six match darts and lost 5-6. I really do have my doubts as to whether he will ever win another title.  Mentally he just short circuits when it counts.

The 2025 German Darts GP Draw

First Quarter

Luke Littler is now the number 1 seed and he is joined in the first quarter by Joe Cullen, Peter Wright and Danny Noppert. None of whom should cause Littler to lose any sleep. Of the unseeded players coming in at the first round stage, Mike De Decker has a decent draw and I can see him making the quarter final.

It is hard to see past Littler, but he is losing more matches than we are used to seeing and we are playing in Germany. If the crowds are picking up that he doesn’t like them, he is going to have a hard time.

Second Quarter

The rejigging of the draw means that Jonny Clayton is now in this second quarter, and in the same half of the draw as Littler, which is a shame. Clayton won PC14 on Tuesday and he played very well. It was peak Ferreting. He destroyed MVG, Wade and Noppert along the way and if he can keep that standard up, he has a real chance to win his third Euro Tour title.

The other seeds are Gilding, Chisnall and Ross Smith. All tricky opponents and this is not an easy quarter. Of the unseeded players Martin Schindler is always dangerous, especially on home soil. He is due to meet Clayton in round two, if he can get past the banana skin that is Mario Vandenbogaerde in the first round.

World Class

Gian van Veen should be playing Gilding in the second round and the young Dutchman is world class. Those two have met just once and that was last Monday, Gilding winning 6-5 with a 75% checkout rate. That will be a fascinating match and if Van Veen can get a break, he could go deep, but it is a bummer of a draw for both Van Veen and Clayton. I fancied backing both, but they are scheduled to meet in the third round.

Dirk van Duijvenbode has to play the crafty Andy Boulton in round one, and if he wins that he plays Gilding. I don’t think that Dirk is close to having the right temperament to win a title even if he has a good run.

Jermaine Wattimena will play Ross Smith in the second round if he wins his first round match, and he should beat Michael Unterbuchner. Wattimena may not quite be in the form he was at the end of 2024 but he is a very dangerous opponent.

The second quarter is the most difficult of the four but the form player is Clayton.

Third Quarter

MVG is the top seed here but he is hard to fancy to go all the way. He has a decent draw, likely to face Kim Huybrechts in the second round. The other seeds are an out of form Ryan Searle, PC13 winner Damon Heta, and James Wade.

Of the unseeded players the standout is Cameron Menzies. He wasn’t at his best earlier this week but he has a 75% win rate in 2025 and can go deep. He has a tricky first round match with Kevin Doets, but he is the better player and beat Doets 6-3 a few weeks ago.

Damon Heta will be stoked after winning PC13 on Monday. His form is not actually that great with a lot of inconsistency and I still find him hard to fancy.

Fourth Quarter

Another very tricky looking quarter. Rob ‘impossible to predict’ Cross is the top seed here. He should face Ricardo Pietreczko in round two, and Pikachu has shown some better form recently, reaching the quarter final of PC14 on Tuesday, beating Heta and Price.

Gerwyn Price is another seed and while he is struggling to get the results his game probably deserves, he will win one these titles sooner or later. Josh Rock is playing some great darts and he is another winner waiting to happen. Of course, he gets a tough draw. He could be facing Wessel Nijman in his opening match, and Price in round three should he win that.

2025 German Darts GP Summary

Sometimes you just have to hate the draw. I had four players on my shortlist. Clayton, Rock, Price and Van Veen. Clayton and Van Veen are due to meet in the third round, as are Price and Rock. It is a shit draw.

Luke Littler is the 4.00 favourite and he has won three of his nine previous Euro Tour events. I wouldn’t put anyone off backing him, but we are in Germany, he might be faffing about with new darts and he has lost five of his last ten matches. His odds are only fair.

Gerwyn Price isn’t far away from winning one of these, but at 11.00 his odds are only OK. He has not won a Euro Tour event since March 2023. That is sixteen played and only one final reached.

Jonny Clayton hasn’t won on the Euro Tour since 2023 but he was out of form for quite some time. He was magnificent on Tuesday and while I may be guilty of recency bias, I do like to back players in form. His draw is as tough as it gets, but his odds are decent, bigger than I expected.

2025 German Darts GP Tip: 0.5 point e/w Jonny Clayton to win @ 41.00 with Livescorebet

In the bottom half of the draw I will go for Josh Rock. Like Clayton he has a tough draw, but he is playing well enough to think that he can go all the way. He was a quarter finalist here last year and he went on to win his first Euro Tour a few weeks later.

2025 German Darts GP Tip: 0.5 point e/w Josh Rock to win @ 19.00 with Boylesports

I will have one more small outright bet. The third quarter looks quite open and while he was a bit off earlier this week, Cameron Menzies is having a great season. He won PC11 just ten days ago and was very close to making the quarter final in ET3, as he did in ET2.

2025 German Darts GP Tip: 0.25 point e/w Cameron Menzies to win @ 41.00 with Livescorebet

-JamesPunt

 

 

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