2025 PDC WC Wednesday Night Preview – JP
2025 PDC WC Wednesday Night Preview
Chris Dobey landed our quarter winner bet against Gerwyn Price. James also landed his over 180s bet in the MVG v Rydz match but our win bet on Riot went astray. We go again tonight, check out James Punt’s 2025 PDC WC Wednesday Night preview and tips below.
Peter Wright vs. Stephen Bunting
Sometimes sport doesn’t go with the script, but Peter Wright reaching a quarter final in the biggest tournament of the year is off the chart.
Where has he been all season? In the bin for most of it, and he comes here, gets a bit lucky with Plaisier being off his game, but then beats the bang in-form Jermaine Wattimena 4-2, and then shocked everyone by knocking out the World Champion, Luke Humphries, 4-1 in the fourth round.
Snakebite beat Wattimena and Humphries fair and square. He was the better player. Where has it come from? I have no idea, and that means it might be wise to just leave his matches well alone. Wright has lost six of his last ten, but it seems his recent form is irrelevant.
Wright has played six World Championship quarter finals and won four. He went on to win two titles. He knows how to get the job done here.
Will Bunting Tighten Up?
Stephen Bunting tends to get a bit tight at this stage of events. He has played in fourteen ranking major quarter finals in the PDC and lost nine and he has also lost five semi-finals. He has won six of his last ten matches and in this event he has played well, averaging 96.32 across his three matches, much in line with his 2024 seasonal average of 96.83. Wright is averaging 95.58, much better than his 2024 average of 92.37.
Their H2H record is interesting. Wright is 18-12. In 2024 it is 2-2, with Wright winning their last two, both 6-5 on the Euro Tour. They met in the UK Open and Bunting won that 10-9. Their other match was the only one that didn’t need a deciding leg, a 10-2 win for Bunting at The Masters, which he went on to win.
In 2023 there was a 10-9 win for Wright in the UK Open. Bunting beat Wright 10-9 in the 2018 Players Championship finals. Their last four, long format matches in TV majors have produced three deciding legs. They have never met in the World Championship.
Close Matches
In Bunting’s three World Championship quarter finals, all were over 7.5 sets, for Wright four of his six were over 7.5, including his last three. Their past H2H record suggest that another close one is very possible.
Bunting is the 1.57 favourite, so the market has not accepted that Peter Wright is playing a lot better than expected. The market expects him to revert to type. In doing so, they are ignoring Bunting’s poor record in major quarter finals.
2025 PDC WC Wednesday Night Tip: 1 point over 7.5 sets @ 2.05 with Fitzdares
2025 PDC WC Wednesday Night Tip: 0.5 point Wright to win 5-3 @ 9.00 with Fitzdares, Hills
Luke Littler vs. Nathan Aspinall
Aspinall has had a free pass to the quarter final. None of his three opponents have averaged more than 88 against him. That is remarkable. The Asp has a tournament average of 91.50, and he has strolled into a quarter final. He is living a charmed life, but surely that comes to an end tonight?
Luke Littler had to pull out all the stops to beat Ryan Joyce 4-3 in the last round. Joyce played a strong game and Littler got a shock, but he was able to stay calm and rely on his A game to get him home. His tournament average is 100.61.
Littler has won fifteen of his last sixteen matches, hit fifteen ton plus averages, with a low average of 97.84. That 97.84, was his B game. It is just silly.
H2H
Their H2H record makes for even worse reading for Aspinall. They have played eight and Littler has won seven. I was surprised Aspinall had won one, but he did get a 6-3 win in the Premier League. Their cumulative leg score is 45 – 31, so Aspinall was rarely thrashed.
This does look to be about the margin of Littler’s victory. He beat Brendan Dolan 5-1 last year but Dolan was poor, averaging just 86.45. I expect Aspinall to put up a stronger performance, but the score might not be that different.
Littler is the 1.17 favourite, Aspinall 6.00. Under 7.5 sets is just 1.44 and going for under 6.5 means odds of 2.25. The last twenty quarter finals have produced eight 5-0 or 5-1 results, 40%, so I’d be hoping for nearer 2.50.
It is hard to find any value in this match. It is difficult to see past a Littler win, but the odds on any angle are just too short. There is some logic in over 6.5 sets. That has accounted for 60% of the last twenty, so there is a little bit of value in backing 1.73. However, some matches just aren’t for betting on, and this is one.
