2022 Glorious Goodwood Wednesday Tips – DS
2022 Glorious Goodwood Wednesday Preview
Well, Day 1 went almost exactly as I feared. A blank. Dandy Boy Shine ran a nice race and is one to follow but the rest were nowhere. Hopefully things get better on Day 2. 2022 Glorious Goodwood Wednesday tips are below.
1.50 – Coral Handicap (Class 2)
In yesterday’s opener the Johnstons struck with one at a decent price. Hopefully lightning strikes twice and they can land this race with Luminous Light. This son of Iffraaj has run well on his last two starts in handicap company. A course maiden winner over a mile last season, this 12f trip could really suit him. He bombed out on his first handicap start at Newbury off 86 but it was a lot more like it the last twice.
At Chester he led and was keen but he battled on well until tiring in the last 100 yards. Last time out at Ripon he got chopped off by the winner 1.5f out and also stumbled but once he got into the clear he stayed on well to the line to just get up for 3rd. He is out of a Galileo mare that stayed 10f and Iffraaj has produced a few decent middle distance horses (including Salutation who was 2nd off 90 in this race in 2013).
To be honest, with the amount of speed in his dam’s pedigree he probably won’t stay any further than 12f but if he is going to get it, it will be on a speed track like this. The Johnstons also run Approachability and given my record when tipping their horses, he’ll probably hack up. However, Luminous Light looks overpriced to me at odds of 25/1 and he is the e/w selection.
2022 Glorious Goodwood Wednesday Tips: Luminous Light e/w @ 25/1 (4 places) NB
2.25 – Oak Tree Stakes (Group 3)
After her last run I just can’t put up Primo Bacio again. Thankfully she is too short anyway at 8/1 but even if she was 20s, I think I would abandon ship. She just hasn’t looked the same horse since running on soft ground last season and I expected a much better showing from her at Newmarket. In fairness to her, she ran well enough behind Saffron Beach at Ascot and the drop back to 7f and in class could make the difference. If she was at her best she would piss this but you couldn’t be confident.
Another horse we backed twice this season is Miss Carol Ann. The two occasions we were on, she of course didn’t place. At Newbury in a G3 in April she ran a decent enough race behind Wild Beauty, beat 4L. She was too keen and fresh but she had no excuses next time when well beat in a Listed race at Carlisle. She showed she had ability last time out, landing a fillies handicap at Newmarket off 93 (7f gd/fm). 14s looks a fair price and she could outrun those odds.
Overpriced
With a mark of 96, Improvised would need to find a fair bit of improvement to feature here. However, the daughter of Raven’s Pass has run crackers on her last two tries in Listed company and she looks well worth a shot at this level. She started off the season rated 87 and her first two runs of the year over 6f were nothing to write home about. However, she improved plenty for the step up to 7f when finishing well for 2nd behind Snooze N You Lose in a Listed contest at Musselburgh.
She was far from disgraced in the big fillies’ handicap at Ascot (8f gd/fm) on her next start. The trip probably stretched her and she picked up more black type three weeks ago when beat just 1.75L into 3rd behind Soft Whisper.
The winner of that race is rated 106, the runner up (0.5L ahead) is rated 104 so surely Improvised deserved more than a 2lb hike to 96. They both reoppose today and Soft Whisper is 11/2, Bounce The Blues is 10/1 and Improvised is 28/1. Just 1.75L separated the three of them at Chelmsford so at the prices, even from her wide draw, Improvised is the e/w pick at 28s.
2022 Glorious Goodwood Wednesday Tips: Improvised e/w @ 28/1 (6 places Hills)
3.00 – Molecomb Stakes (Group 3)
This 5f race for the juveniles will surely be run at a scorching pace. Six of the eight runners have made all previously to win so something will have to give. Rocket Rodney is capable of lying up off a fast pace and he could be the one best suited by how this race is likely to be run. However, he is only an 11/10 shot so that is not much use to e/w players.
Trillium was held up in midfield when winning over 6f last time and she was keen enough early. Pat Dobbs made his move 2f out and she quickly put the race to bed. Now, she drops back in distance to 5f and given how she travelled last time, it could suit her. She is by No Nay Never and her dam is from a speedy family so on pedigree, I can’t see any issues dropping back in trip. We know she stays 6f so if they do go a crazy gallop, she should be finishing stronger than most. At odds of 10/1, Trillium is the e/w selection.
2022 Glorious Goodwood Wednesday Tips: Trillium e/w @ 10/1
3.35 – Sussex Stakes (Group 1)
Baeed will bid to extend his winning run to nine in this 8f Group 1. The son of Sea The Stars has yet to taste defeat and while he wasn’t as spectacular as usual last time at Ascot, he still won with plenty in hand from Real World. That form has worked out well. Order Of Australia hacked up in a G2 next time out, Chindit won a G3 and Sir Busker landed a G2 at the weekend at York. Chindit pitches up again here and he has 8L to find with the fav on their meeting at Ascot.
Alcohol Free is the second fav after her 6f G1 win last time out. On her last try at a mile she finished nearly 6L behind Baaeed and she is a former C&D winner. That win last time will have boosted her confidence but it is hard to see her troubling the jolly, unless he has an off day. With just seven runners I am going to leave this race alone. Baaeed should win and Order Of Australia could be the one for the forecast but I’m happy to keep the powder dry. No bet.
2022 Glorious Goodwood Wednesday Tips: No Bet
4.10 – Nicholson Gin Handicap (Class 2)
When in doubt at Goodwood, back a Mark Johnston horse. He has just one runner here and at 12/1, Value Theory looks a fascinating contender. This filly has had four runs this season and she has improved with each one. Good to soft ground wasn’t ideal on her first two starts and possibly she wasn’t suited by the all-weather at Lingfield. However, she showed a lot more back on good to firm at Nottingham (8f gd/fm) and she shaped as though stepping up in distance on grass would suit.
This will be the furthest trips she has tackled to date on turf. She was placed in a G3 last season over 7f but on breeding, she is going to be best over middle distances. Her sire Gleneagles was a top miler but nearly all of her siblings were best at a trip. Value Theory’s handicap mark has now dropped to 88 from 94 and it will be disappointing if she can’t be competitive off that rating. At odds of 12/1, she is worth backing e/w.
