Sunday Afternoon PDC World Championship Tips – JP

by | Dec 18, 2022

Sunday Afternoon PDC World Championship Preview

James Punt has already penned outright winner and side market previews. His Sunday Afternoon PDC World Championship tips are below.

*Please note that today’s session times have been moved to accommodate the World Cup Final. This session will start at 20.15 pm local UK time.

Madars Razma vs. Prakash Jiwa

Razma is making his making his fourth appearance on the Ally Pally stage. He hasn’t enjoyed much success on it, winning just one match, but he’ll fancy his chances here. His recent form is not good, losing six of his last ten matches and hitting seven sub 90 averages in those ten.

Razma reached the quarter final of the World Grand Prix in early October, which is his best performance in a major, but since then he has won just six matches. His only win here was a 3-0 win against Japanese qualifier Toru Suzuki.

Experienced

Prakash Jiwa held a tour card for 11 years, so he is an experienced player but still making his Ally Pally debut. His seasonal average is 81.9, some nine points shy of Razma’s. He now plays on the Challenge Tour where he has won five of his last ten matches and he won the Indian qualifier to get here.

Razma is the 1.20 favourite to win but his recent form isn’t good enough to be backing him at short odds. He is 1.57 with a -1.5 set handicap and it is another match with very little to commend it for betting purposes.

Sunday Afternoon PDC World Championship tips: No Bet

Karel Sedlacek vs. Raymond Smith

Evil Charlie will be making his third appearance here, but he has lost his two first round matches, 0-3 to Keegan Brown and 2-3 to Ryan Joyce. He lost his tour card last year, but he had some good runs on the Euro Tour to earn his place here and he has looked good at times, very straight, and he has a good temperament. His recent form is not great, losing seven of his last ten matches. There were six sub 90 averages but also a 106.9 in that ten and his is a resilient player who doesn’t throw the towel in.

Raymond Smith has also played in two previous World Championships but unlike Sedlacek, he has won three matches, all last year when he reached the 4th round. He won a lot of fans and showed good consistency and bottle. He only just lost out to Merv King 3-4 in that 4th round defeat.

Confidence High

His seasonal average is 87.1, he has won eleven of his last twelve matches down under and while the standard isn’t at the same level, his confidence will be high. He has won eight DPA titles in 2022 and is a highly rated player.

Sedlacek is the marginal 1.83 favourite, Smith 2.00 and the money has been going on Smith. It does look to be a bit of a coin toss between two evenly matched players and picking the winner is hard. A couple of players who can be hard to beat and don’t give in easily, it should make for a close match.

Sunday Afternoon PDC World Championship tips: 1 point over 4.5 sets @ 2.75 with Betfair

Luke Woodhouse vs. Vladyslav Omelchenko

There are outsiders and there is Omelchenko. With any Russian banned form the tournament, the PDC decided to give their place to a Ukrainian qualifier. He must be good as he is the only player in the tournament with a seasonal win rate of 100%, despite an average of 69.9. It is a nice gesture by the PDC to let a Ukrainian get a place but he’ll get on as well as I would.

Woodhouse won the draw lottery with his tie. His recent form is quite good, winning six of his last ten matches and while he is a journeyman pro, he is a proper player and has been putting in some decent performances lately. This a free pass into the second round and a guaranteed £15k.

Woodhouse is the 1.06 favourite, which is probably a touch generous. Omelchenko the 11.00 outsider, which is too short.

Woodhouse is 1.57 to win 3-0 and I am going to back it. It is a lot better than you’ll get with a bank.

Sunday Afternoon PDC World Championship tips: 2.5 points Luke Woodhouse to win 3-0 @ 1.53 with Betfred, Ladbrokes

Damon Heta vs. Adrian Lewis

Adrian Lewis’ 93.7 average in his first round win against Daniel Larsson was the second highest of the first rounds played so far, bettered only by William O’Connor’s 94 .2. It has been a tournament of very low scoring so far but surely it picks up at some point?

Lewis has won five of his last ten matches and that win over Larsson ended a run of four straight defeats. He has gone out at this stage for the last two years, but he has won thirteen second round matches in the World Championships.

TV Troubles

Damon Heta continues to confound darting science, but not in a good way. He plays darts of the highest standard but struggles to win titles and especially on TV. He has now played in 17 televised majors and lost his opening match in 9, including 4 this season and he failed to get out of the group phase at the Grand Slam. This is a man who has the second highest average over the last 12 months, bettered only by Michal van Gerwen. He has played five matches at Ally Pally and lost three.

Heta has won two players championship titles in 2022, he won a Euro tour title and the World Cup, so it has not quite been the win desert I sometimes portray, but for his ability, his record in the big ones is disappointing.

Their H2H record is 2-1 to Heta, all floor matches and two ended 6-5.

Nervy Heta

Heta is the 1.55 favourite and Lewis 2.63. Looking at the vital stats you can see why, he is the better player in just about every metric, but he will be the more nervous player. He knows his major form is poor and it will be very frustrating. Lewis is vastly experienced on this stage, and he loves it. He is comfortable here and he associates Ally Pally with success. Heta must see a TV camera and need the toilet.

Lewis can play dirty, try and rub his opponents up the wrong way and if Heta is wobbling, Lewis can push him over.

Sunday Afternoon PDC World Championship tips: 1 point Adrian Lewis to win @ 2.60 with Betfred, Unibet

-JamesPunt

TX Markets offers Intelligent odds monitoring that lets you focus on both individual bookmakers’ odds changes as well as giving a global view of aggregated moves.

 

© 2023 txmarkets.com
Cookie Policy
Terms And Conditions

TX Markets encourages responsible gaming with :

Share This