2024 NFL Sunday Divisional Playoffs

Jan Keys has already posted his previews and bets for the two Saturday matches. Check them out here. On Sunday, the Lions take on the Buccaneers in the NFC Divisional Round and the Bills will face off with the Chiefs in the AFC. Can Jan add to his impressive haul of recent winners? His 2024 NFL Sunday Divisional Playoffs previews are below.

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

WEATHER REPORT – Domed Stadium

Spread & Total Points

Jan’s computer thinks the oddsmakers have got this match pretty much spot on. Jan’s line is Detroit -6.3 points and the Vegas bookies make it Detroit -6.5 points so we won’t be getting involved in the spread market for this one.

It is a similar story in the total points market. Only 3 points separate Jan and the Vegas bookmakers (45.1 vs 48 total points) so again, we’ll keep the powder dry and instead focus on some player prop bets.

Player Props

Cade Otton – Over 29.5 Receiving Yards @ 1.806

Last week he had 8 receptions for 89 yards, he was the go to guy for Baker Mayfield. Jan can see no reasons why they won’t use him again this week. Back the over at odds of 1.806 with Pinnacle.

Mike Evans – Under 69.5 Receiving Yards @ 1.869

Mike Evans is usually a big player for the Buccs but he hasn’t been hitting his usual heights in recent times. In the last 2 weeks he only had 48 & 22 yards. In his last 10 matches Evans has produced 6 unders and 4 overs on the spread. So, back the under on Sunday at odds of 1.869.

2024 NFL Sunday Divisional Playoffs Picks

Spread: No Bet

Total Points: No Bet

Props: Cade Otton over 29.5 Receiving Yards @ 1.806; Mike Evans Under 69.5 Receiving Yards @ 1.862

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

WEATHER REPORT – 4% Chance of Rain and 22F

Spread & Total Points

Just like in Sunday’s opener, Jan Keys is struggling to find any value in the spread or total points markets. His computer line is Buffalo -4.9 points compared to Buffalo -2.5 points with Vegas, not enough of a difference to warrant a bet.

The total points calculations are even closer. Jan makes it a 43.2 point game and the bookmakers see it as a 45 point game so again, we’ll leave this market alone. Jan does have a couple of strong player prop fancies.

Player Props

Rachee Rice – Over 70.5 Receiving Yards @ 1.826

Rice comes into the Divisional Round in tip top form. He has landed the over in 7 of his last 8 matches and Jan Keys thinks he can do the job again. Back him for the over at odds of 1.826.

Stefon Diggs – Under 65.5 Receiving Yards @ 1.869

It hasn’t been a good second half of the season for Stefon Diggs. The Buffalo wideout has gone under the line in 8 of his last 9 matches. In his last 10 games he has averaged just 48.7 receiving yards per game. So, a wager on the under looks the logical bet at odds of 1.869.

Mecole Hardman JR – Under 16.5 Receiving Yards @ 1.854

It hasn’t been a very productive season for Mecole Hardman JR either. The Chiefs wide receiver has had under 16.5 yards receiving in eight of his last nine matches. Jan Keys can see no reason why he won’t do the same again so back the under at odds of 1.854.

2024 NFL Sunday Divisional Playoffs Picks

Spread: No Bet

Total Points: No Bet

Props: Rachee Rice Over 70.5 receiving yards @ 1.826; Stefon Diggs Under 65.5 receiving yards @ 1.869; Mecole Hardman JR Under 16.5 receiving yards @ 1.854

*All odds are provided by Pinnacle

-JanKeys