2024 NFL Week 10 MNF Picks

Jan the man went 3-1-1 with his five picks on Sunday and he is now back on an even keel for the season with a 29-29 record. Check out Jan Keys 2024 NFL Week 10 MNF picks below.

Miami Dolphins (2-6) @ Los Angeles Rams (4-4)

Vegas Lines: Los Angeles Rams -2.5; Total Points: 49.0

Jan Keys’ Ratings: Los Angeles Rams -2.1; Total Points: 43.5

Last week’s Results

Seattle Seahawks 20 – Los Angeles Rams 26; Buffalo Bills 30 –  Miami Dolphins 27

Offensive And Defensive Averages

Los Angeles Rams: Average Total Yards (Off/Def) 329-360; Passing 232-225; Rushing 97-135

Miami Dolphins: Average Total Yards (with Tua) 375-307; Passing 245-204; Rushing 130-103

Projected Totals: Los Angeles Rams 318 – Pass 218, Rush 100; Miami 367 – Pass 235; Rush 132.

Miami are a much better team than their 2-6 record suggests and they are also a much better team when QB Tua Tagovailoa is playing. They gave Buffalo a run for their money last week, even outscoring them on yardage 375-325. If they lose here then their playoff hopes are gone.

The L.A. Rams churned out their third win in a row in Seattle last week and are slowly getting their team healthy. Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua have improved their receiving numbers since coming back from injury.

This match should be a close match with both teams seemingly on the up, I don’t have a strong opinion either way.

2024 NFL Week 10 MNF Pick: No Bet

Prop lines

Los Angeles Rams

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards – 257.5 (so far: 317, 216, 221, 224, 260, 154, 279, 298) 4 Ov 4 Un

Rushing Yards

Kyren Williams 84.5 (so far: 50, 25, 89, 94, 102, 76, 97, 69)  4 Ov 4 Un

Receiving Yards

Puka Nacua 70.5 (so far: 35, DNP, DNP, DNP, DNP, DNP, 106, 11)

Cooper Kupp 66.5 (so far: 110, 37, DNP, DNP, DNP, DNP, 51, 104)

Demarcus Robinson 28.5 (so far: 42, 50, 32, 37, 28, 9, 35, 94)  

Miami Dolphins

Tua Tagovailoa   Passing Yards – 244.5 (this season 338, 145, injured, 234, 231)

Rushing Yards

De’von Achane 57.5 (so far: 24, 96, 30, 15, 18, 77, 97, 63) When QB Tua  

Raheem Mostert 33.5 (so far: 9, DNP, DNP, DNP, 80, 50, 19, 56)

Receiving Yards

Tyreek Hill 71.5 (so far: 130, 24, 40, 23, 69, 8, 72, 80)

Raheem Mostert 8.5 (so far: 10, DNP, DNP, DNP, 18, 0, 11).

The L.A. Rams have their star wide receivers Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua back and in form. Matthew Stafford will be passing the ball a lot more than normal and Kyren Williams will be rushing less than normal. So, back him to have UNDER 84.5 rushing yards.

2024 NFL Week 10 MNF Pick: Kyren Williams under 84.5 rushing yards

Tyreek Hill is projected to have 5.5 Receptions tonight and the money has been for the Unders. So, five receptions for Hill is more probable and that makes the the 71.5 yard line just a tad too high. Plus, Miami will probably run the football more than their opponents as the Rams’ rush defense is not a strength. Back Hill to have UNDER 71.5 receiving yards.

2024 NFL Week 10 MNF Pick: Tyreek Hill under 71.5 receiving yards

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-JanKeys