2024 NFL Week 13 MNF Preview

Thanksgiving went well for Jan Keys. He went 4-0 on Thursday and Friday, 2-2 on Sunday and his overall record now stands at 48-39 for the season. On Monday night the 7-5 Denver Broncos host the 3-8 Cleveland Browns, check out Jan Keys’ 2024 NFL Week 13 MNF picks below.

Cleveland Browns (3-8) @ Denver Broncos (7-5)

Vegas Lines: Denver Broncos -6; Total Points: 42.0

Jan Keys’ Ratings: Denver Broncos -6; Total Points: 41.5

Last week’s Results

Las Vegas Raiders 19 – Denver Broncos 29; Cleveland Browns 24 – Pittsburgh Steelers 19

Offensive And Defensive Averages

Broncos: Average Total Yards (Off/Def) 313-296; Passing 202-200; Rushing 111-96.

Browns: Average Total Yards 376-376; Passing 290-247; Rushing 86-129.

Projected Totals: Denver 345 – Pass 225, Rush 120; Cleveland 336 – Pass 245, Rush 91.

The Cleveland Browns come into this match playing for pride only as their season is over. They had an impressive win last week against playoff hopefuls the Pittsburgh Steelers. Number two QB Jameis Winston is playing well and this match is no gimme for the Broncos.

Denver come into this match holding onto the last playoff berth so it is important they win. Rookie QB Bo Nix has been the star for the Broncos this season and this team has every chance of making the playoffs but they can’t afford to slip up here.

I pretty much agree with the line and total points so it would be hard for me to make a match selection. No Bet.

2024 NFL Week 13 MNF Pick: No Bet

Prop lines

Denver Broncos

Bo Nix Passing – 221.5 (so far: 138, 246, 216, 60, 206, 216, 164, 284, 223, 215, 307, 273) 5 Ov/7 Un

Rushing Yards

J Williams 35.5 (so far: 23, 17, 12, 77, 61, 23, 88, 44, 42, 1, 59, -2) 6 Ov/6 Un

J McLaughlin 20.5 (so far: 27, 6, 7, 46, 22, 8, 35, 47, 10, 12, 19, 44) 6 Ov/6 Un

Bo Nix 19.5 (so far: 35, 25, 47, 3, 9, 61, 75, 4, 36, -5, 5, 5) 6 Ov/6 Un

Receiving Yards

C Sutton 64.5 (so far: 38, 26, 68, 60, 32, 53, 0, 100, 122, 70, 78, 97) 6 Ov/6 Un

D Vale 35.5 (so far: 39, DNP, DNP, DNP, DNP, 78, 20, 28, 11, 39, 66, 80) 5 Ov/3 Un

L Humphrey 18.5 (so far: 0, 50, 37, 0, 48, 8, 12, 22, 11, 23, 52, 4) 6 Ov/6 Un

J Williams 16.5 (so far: 0, 48, 29, 3, 50, 13, 23, 8, 42, 6, 28, 6) 6 Ov/6 Un

Cleveland Browns

Jameis Winston Pass 230.5 (so far: 334, 235, 395, 219) 3 Ov/1 Un

Rushing Yards

N Chubb 56.5 (so far: 22, 52, 39, 50, 59) 1 Ov/4 Un

J Ford 17.5 (so far: 44, 64, 37, 58, 47, DNP, DNP, DNP, DNP, 10, 19) 6 Ov/1 Un

J Winston 6.5 (so far: 2, 27, 8, 7) 3 Ov/1 Un

Receiving Yards

J Jeudy 58.5 (so far: 25, 73, 27, 72, 16, 35, 18, 79, 73, 142, 85) 6 Ov/5 Un

D Njoku 46.5 (so far: 44, DNP, DNP, DNP, DNP, 14, 31, 76, 61, 29, 81, 9) 3 Ov/5 Un

E Moore 44.5 (so far: 9, 44, 17, 11, 11, 3, 41, 85, 28, 66, 21) 2 Ov/9 Un

Elijah Moore has only gone over 44.5 Receiving Yards twice this season from 11 matches, so the odds are firmly against him. His team-mate and former Bronco Jerry Jeudy is expected to lead this team in the passing game tonight, and Moore will probably be playing second or third fiddle. So, I am backing him to have under 44.5 receiving yards.   

2024 NFL Week 13 MNF Prop Pick: Elijah Moore UNDER 44.5 receiving yards @ 1.91

Nick Chubb has only gone over 56.5 Yards Rushing once in five matches and with Cleveland more likely to be chasing the game and going through the air, that will have a negative effect on their overall rushing numbers. Also, with receivers Jerry Jeudy and David Njoku in fine form, passing looks key to this Browns team.

2024 NFL Week 13 MNF Pick: Nick Chubb UNDER 56.5 rushing yards @ 1.83

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-JanKeys