2024 NFL Week 14 MNF Preview

It is fair to say that Sunday was not a day to remember for Jan Keys. After a wipeout he is now just barely ahead with a 50-49 record for the season, he’s hoping to bounce back in the Monday night clash between the Cowboys and the Bengals. Check out Jan’s 2024 NFL Week 14 MNF picks below.

Cincinnati Bengals (4-8) @ Dallas Cowboys (5-7)

Vegas Lines: Cincinnati Bengals -5.5; Total Points: 49.5

Jan Keys’ Ratings: Cincinnati Bengals -2.6; Total Points: 55.1

Last week’s Results

Dallas Cowboys 27 – New York Giants 20; Cincinnati Bengals 38 – Pittsburgh Steelers 44.

Offensive And Defensive Averages

Cowboys: Average Total Yards (Off/Def) 296-349; Passing 202-202; Rushing 94-147.

Bengals: Average Total Yards 356-369; Passing 264-241; Rushing 92-128.

Projected Totals: Dallas 360 – Pass 229, Rush 131; Cincinnati 351 – Pass 231, Rush 120.

Cincinnati aren’t a bad team, they just haven’t had the breaks in their matches. Losing by just one point in both Kansas and Baltimore tells you that this is a good side.

QB Joe Burrow has been the star of this team and as long as he remains fit, the Bengals could have a big season next year. However, Cincinnati have been terrible in defense and this is where they need to improve. The Bengals are suffering a few injuries coming into tonight’s match.

The Dallas Cowboys are on a two match winning streak with No2 QB Cooper Rush not throwing an interception in his last two matches. Dallas have had an extra 3 days’ rest since their Thanksgiving win against the Giants. With the line set at 5.5, I’m going to take the Home Team to cover on the strength that the Cowboys may have turned the corner.

2024 NFL Week 14 MNF Pick: Dallas Cowboys +5.5 points @ 1.92

Prop lines

Dallas Cowboys

Cooper Rush – 234.5 (45, 354, 247, 195) 2 OV/2 UN

Rushing Yards

R Dowdle 67.5 (26, 30, 32, 46, 87, 25, DNP, 75, 53, 28, 86, 112) 4 OV/7 UN

C Rush 68.5 (2, 2, 1, 0)  0 OV/4 UN

Receiving Yards

C Lamb 68.5 (61, 90, 67, 98, 62, 89, 146, 47, 21, 93, 67, 39) 5 OV/7 UN

J Ferguson 37.5 (15, DNP, 95, 49, 70, 11, 23, 71, 24, 11, DNP, DNP) 4 OV/5 UN

B Cooks 26.5 (40, 19, 16, 16, DNP X7, 16) 1 OV/4 UN

J Tolbert 26.5 (12, 82, 42, 24, 87, 43, 44, 19, 14, 21, 22, 41) 6 OV/6 UN

Cincinnati Bengals

J Burrow 277.5 (154, 246, 312, 232, 371, 183, 164, 222, 243, 421, 342, 282) 5 OV/7 UN

Rushing Yards

C Brown 74.5 (11, 31, 62, 80, 46, 53, 44, 32, 120, 42, 88, 70) 3 OV/9 UN

J Burrow 9.5 (15, 9, 4, 10, 1, 55, -3, 15, 11, 6, 28, 9) 6 OV/6 UN

Receiving Yards

J Chase 79.5 (138, 9, 50, 139, 78, 28, 10, 55, 113, 23, 26) 6 Ov/6 Un

T Higgins 70.5 (13, DNP, 67, 0, DNP, 68, 9, 39, 37, 150, 0, 67) 4 Ov/6 Un

C Brown 24.5 (37, 16, 24, 53, 88, 13, 33, 78, 34, 0, 26, 78) 5 Ov/7 Un

M Gesicki 24.5 (18, 91, 47, -9, 31, 0, 2, 73, 100, 30, 0, 53) 7 OV/5 UN

A Iosivas 24.5 (26, 7, 52, 29, 39, 36, 0, 0, 10, 29, 46, 35) 8 OV/4 UN

Joe Burrow is a great player and he is receiving great praise and rightly so, but this also makes the line higher than it should be. Over the last four games when Cooper Rush has been Dallas’ QB, the Cowboys have averaged 202 yards passing for and against. Dallas also are poor against the rush and I expect Burrow and the Bengals to focus more on running the football tonight.   

2024 NFL Week 12 MNF Pick: Joe Burrow UNDER 277.5 passing yards @ 1.90

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-JanKeys