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Night 5 Premier League Darts Tips by James Punt

by | Apr 9, 2021 | Uncategorized | 0 comments

Night 5 Premier League Darts Tips

The Premier League continues after another thrilling session of darts on Night 4. The highlight was Jose De Sousa’s thrilling 9 darter in his drawn game with Nathan Aspinall. James Punt landed another trio of winning bets at 2.00, 1.91 and 2.15. Can he do more damage on Friday night? Check out his Night 5 Premier League darts tips below…

Gary Anderson vs. Jonny Clayton

Jonny Clayton lost his ninth match from 51 in 2021 last night and this evening he faces his nemesis, Gary Anderson. The Ferret has only beaten Anderson once in eleven previous matches, and that was way back in April 2016! Anderson also has whitewashed Durrant on three occasions. Despite that H2H record, Clayton starts as the 2.25 favourite.

Anderson got his two points for beating Glen Durrant last night and he joins Clayton and three others on five points from the first four rounds. There is little to separate these two on how they have played so far but that H2H record stands out. Yes Clayton is very much improved players since they last met last July but Anderson is playing with a great degree of consistency so far with averages of 98, 99, 98 and 97, so Clayton will need to up his game from what we saw last night.

They haven’t had many close matches before, one went to a deciding leg and one to 6-4, other wise they have been one sided affairs, even Clayton’s sole win was 6-1.

Hopefully Clayton can get back to winning ways, or even a point would do in what is a very close league table. However, he will be aware of his record vs. Anderson and this is a huge test mental test for Clayton.

Both have been hitting plenty of 180’s. 0.40 per leg for Anderson and 0.35 per leg for Clayton and we should see plenty hit tonight. A reasonably close match would help but over 6.5 looks on the low side.

Night 5 Premier League darts tips: 2 points over 6.5 180’s @ 1.73 with Ladbrokes

Night 5 Premier League darts: Peter Wright vs. Rob Cross

The H2H stats here is far from one sided with nine wins for Cross, eight for Wright and two draws. That is two draws from five PL matches, it is almost Gurney vs. Price like. Peter wright has already drawn two of his four matches, Cross one. There always seems to be one player in the PL who ends up with a lot of draws. Wright has played 102 PL matches and drawn 28. Cross has drawn 9 from 47 PL matches.

Wright has been far from consistent this week, he was very good when drawing with Clayton, rubbish when losing to MVG, good when beating Anderson good when drawing with Van den Bergh. He wasn’t well when losing to MVG so we should assume that Wright will be averaging high nineties or better tonight. Cross has been very consistent, averaging 96 so far and never far from that average.

This just has a draw feel about it.

Night 5 Premier League darts tips: 1 point drawn match @ 5.00 with SpreadEx

Michael van Gerwen vs. Nathan Aspinall

MVG looked very flat in his 3-7 defeat by James Wade last night. It was one of those performances which we are becoming used to. He had looked in good form in two of his four matches. The draw with Van den Bergh was hard fought and he was excellent when beating Rob Cross 7-3 but a 92 average when beating Wright and a 90 average last night is poor. OK, the match with Wright was just a poor match and should be disregarded, but last night was just plain poor.

Aspinall managed a draw against a better performance by Jose De Sousa. Jose screwed up his counting again but was hitting 180’s for fun (a record equalling 11) and hit a nine darter. Aspinall had to play some good stuff to get a draw but he was aided by a poor performance on the outer ring by De Sousa. The Asp still hasn’t found his best form, but there are more and more flashes of it and he is a dangerous opponent.

Tight H2H

These two have met ten times and it is 6-4 to MVG. Aspinall has handed Van Gerwen a few heavy defeats, two 6-1’s a 6-3 and he beat MVG in his first appearance in the PL last year. The Asp enjoys playing Van Gerwen more than most players do.

Van Gerwen is the 1.67 favourite, Aspinall 4.33 and a draw 5.25. Those look about right to me, but perhaps a touch generous about Aspinall. He is coming back form a poor spell of form and looks to be enjoying the game much more again. He is a jack in the box kind of player, lots of nervous energy and I suspect he is able to get going when playing the very top players.

Van Gerwen is harder to call. That performance last night will concern him. He just can’t afford to be putting in poor efforts anymore, there are too many players ready to beat him and if he is averaging 90, he will lose a lot of matches. His confidence has become very brittle in the last year and it will be interesting to see how he reacts tonight. Playing a player who fancies his chances against him is not ideal for MVG after poor effort last night.

Night 5 Premier League darts tips: 1 point Nathan Aspinall to win @ 4.33 generally available
Night 5 Premier League darts tips: 0.5 point Aspinall to win 7-5 @ 9.50 with Betfred

James Wade vs. Glen Durrant

The Bank of Glen Durrant has been paying out nicely this week. I do not think that the bookies have appreciated just how out of form he is, but the penny has finally dropped as they make Wade the 1.30 favourite, the draw at 7.50 and Duzza the outsider of three at 9.00.

Durrant lost 7-2 to Gary Anderson and while he appeared to play better, he still lost heavily and averaged 87.9. Their H2H record is 3-1 to Wade and he has won the last three in a row.

The outright odds now reflect reality and there is no value in them now. A correct score bet has more interest. He lost one match 0-7 but that was down to him missing 12 darts at double in the opening leg, which he should have won that leg. The other three matches have been 7-3 twice and 7-2 last night. Wade has lost 5.75 legs per match and while he should do better than that against a player averaging 87.2, he isn’t setting the world on fire either, averaging 92.5. Wade to win 7-2 is just 5.00 and 7-3 is 7.00. I would tend towards Durrant getting three legs if Wade isn’t firing on all cylinders.

Night 5 Premier League darts tips: 0.5 point Wade to win 7-3 @ 7.00 with Skybet

Dimitri van den Bergh vs. Jose de Sousa

Jose de Sousa finally woke up last night, but still didn’t get a win. Eleven 180’s and a nine darter but still a 6-6 draw with Aspinall. That leaves him on just two points and in much need of a win.

Van den Bergh still tops the table despite only winning two matches. He remains unbeaten, the only player to do so. He is averaging just under 100 and has been one of the most impressive players so far. He has certainly left his early season win drought behind him.

These two share the same management stable, are good friends and have only met twice before with De Sousa winning both 7-5 and 6-4, that last 6-4 was just three weeks ago.

Both players are averaging 99.5 and they have hit 39 maximums between them. De Sousa had complained that a sore shoulder prevented him from going for the treble 20 but obviously that was not a problem last night and he was back to being a 180 machine. Van den Bergh has hit 19 maximums, just one less than De Sousa.

I expect this to be close, possibly we will get all 12 legs and that should allow for a plethora of 180’s.

Night 5 Premier League darts tips: 1 point over 8.5 180’s @ 2.62 with Ladbrokes
Night 5 Premier League darts tips: 0.5 point De Sousa to win 7-5 @ 7.00 with Skybet

 

-JamesPunt

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