2023 Arc De Triomphe Ante-Post Betting Tip – DS

by | Sep 26, 2023

2023 Arc De Triomphe Ante-Post Tip

Our good record in the Arc came to a shuddering halt last year. Bubble Gift was our ante-post selection and he ran no sort of race. In 2019 we backed Waldgeist at 20s. Gold Trip (2020) and Sealiway (2021) both ran crackers for us too. Hopefully this year’s selection can land some e/w money for us at the very least, get Dave Stevos’ 2023 Arc De Triomphe ante-post tip below.

2023 Arc De Triomphe

After forfeits on Monday, a total of 16 horses remain in the 2023 Arc De Triomphe. It does not look like the strongest renewal ever and there is no real stand out contender.

At the head of the market at around 3/1 is the unbeaten 3yo Ace Impact. Trained by Jean Claude Rouget, this son of Cracksman is 5/5. He has won on all kinds of surfaces. An all weather win on debut was followed up with another win on heavy.

Good ground saw him raise his form to another level and he has landed Listed, G1 and G2 contests on his last three outings. This will admittedly be his first attempt at further than 10f. However, he has looked like he’ll stay another couple of furlongs on his last two starts and his pedigree suggests he’ll stay too. Obvious claims but there isn’t much juice left in his odds.

Overpriced

The one that looks a shade overpriced here is Place Du Carrousel. The sole representative from the yard of master trainer Andre Fabre, this 4yo daughter of Lope De Vega looks like she has been trained specifically for this contest.

After a below par return Longchamp in April, she wasn’t seen again until mid-August. Clearly, she benefitted from the break as she returned with a pretty straightforward win in a Deauville G3 (10f gd/sft).

Fabre stepped her up into G2 company on her next start over the Arc C&D, her first try at the 12f trip. She proved she has stamina, holding off a late challenge from Iresine, the winner of the G1 Prix Ganay on his previous start with Simca Mille and Bay Bridge finishing behind him. Those two horses are priced up at 14/1 & 12/1 respectively, Place Du Carrousel is 20s.

Strong 3yo Form

Although those last two wins were decent, this horse outlined her Arc credentials at this meeting last year. Sent off a 41/1 shot in the Prix De l’Opera (10f sft), she absolutely powered home inside the final furlong to land the spoils by 0.75L, lowering the colours of Nashwa and Above The Curve.

That was a clear career best for this filly by some distance. Nashwa is an excellent yardstick at this level and she was recently beat just 0.5L in the Irish Champion Stakes.

The fact that Al Shaqab kept this filly in training, despite her landing a big G1 last season, suggests they believe she is capable of winning the biggest one of all. I tend to agree. 20/1 looks a big price about an Andre Fabre trained filly that has already got G1 winning Longchamp form in the book and who is proven on all sorts of ground. At those odds, she has to be worth backing each way.

2023 Arc De Triomphe Ante Post Tip: Place Du Carrousel e/w @ 20/1 (4 places Betfred) NAP

-DaveStevos

 

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