2023 NFL Week 11 Preview & Betting Picks – JK

by | Nov 15, 2023

2023 NFL Week 11 Regular Season Betting Picks

Jan Keys came out on top in Week 10. He finished up with a 4-3 record for GW10 and his seasonal record now stands at 29-24. He is back in action again this week with seven more spread and total points betting picks. Check out his 2023 NFL Week 11 tips below.

2023 NFL Week 11 Schedule & Lines/Total Points

In the table, the JK Line (spread) and the JK TP (Total Points) columns show what our expert Jan thinks the line/total points should be in comparison to the Line/Total Points marks shown by the Las Vegas oddsmakers.

Date

Home Team

Away Team

JK LINE

VEGAS

BET

JK TP

POINTS

BET

17-Nov

BALTIMORE

V

CINCINNATI

-8.5

-3.5

HOME

48.9

46.0

 

19-Nov

CLEVELAND

V

PITTSBURGH

-10.6

-4

HOME

42.8

36.0

 

19-Nov

HOUSTON

V

ARIZONA

-7.5

-4

 

46.6

48.0

 

19-Nov

JACKSONVILLE

V

TENNESSEE

-8.7

-6.5

 

43.4

40.0

 

19-Nov

MIAMI

V

LAS VEGAS

-11.0

-13

 

44.6

46.5

 

19-Nov

CAROLINA

V

DALLAS

10.2

+10.5

 

48.7

42.0

OVER

19-Nov

DETROIT

V

CHICAGO

-8.7

-10.5

 

46.6

47.0

 

19-Nov

GREEN BAY

V

LA CHARGERS

0.6

+3

 

43.4

44.0

 

19-Nov

WASHINGTON

V

NY GIANTS

-5.4

-10

AWAY

44.6

37.5

 

19-Nov

SAN FRANCISCO

V

TAMPA BAY

-11.4

-11.5

 

42.2

41.0

 

19-Nov

BUFFALO

V

NY JETS

-3.9

-7.5

AWAY

38.0

40.5

 

19-Nov

LA RAMS

V

SEATTLE

0.1

+1

 

42.6

46.0

 

20-Nov

DENVER

V

MINNESOTA

3.0

-2.5

AWAY

40.3

43.0

 

21-Nov

KANSAS CITY

V

PHILADELPHIA

-1.5

-2.5

 

41.5

45.5

UNDER

Gameweek 10 Recap

A second half flurry of scores scuppered our under 46 points bet in the Seahawks vs Commanders match. The Chargers and Lions served up a high scoring shootout, which wasn’t on Jan’s radar, but we managed to nail the over in the Ravens v Browns and Cowboys v Lions. We finished up with a third total points winner on MNF.

Josh Dobbs and the Vikings clipped the Saint’s wings and landed our +2.5 bet easily. However, the Jaguars came up against a 49ers team that was in the mood and they came nowhere near to covering the spread.

We finished up with four winners at odds of 1.97, 2.00, 2.02 and 1.892. Fingers crossed we can do even better for Week 11.

Week 11

This week, Jan is changing it up a bit. He is focusing more on the spread (five bets) and he has just two total points wagers. The Ravens and Bengals both lost narrowly last time and Jan thinks Baltimore will bounce back. He also thinks the Browns can back up their win last week against the Raiders and cover a 4 point spread vs Pittsburgh.

Jan is also predicting that both New York teams can outperform the bookies’ expectations. He expects the Josh Dobbs train to keep rolling in Denver where the Vikings have a +2.5 point head start.

We only have two total points bets this week, the over in the Panthers v Cowboys and the under for the Monday Night Football clash between the Chiefs and Eagles. Fingers crossed for another fantastic weekend of football, hopefully we can turn a nice profit.

2023 NFL Week 8 Tips – Spread*

Baltimore Ravens -3.5 points to win vs Cincinnati Bengals @ 1.934
Cleveland Browns -4 points to win vs Pittsburgh Steelers @ 1.970
New York Giants +10 points to win @ Washington Commanders @ 1.862
New York Jets + 7.5 points to win @ Buffalo Bills @ 1.840
Minnesota Vikings +2.5 points to win @ Denver Broncos @ 1.892

2023 NFL Week 7 Tips – Total Points*

Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys over 42 points @ 1.925
Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles under 45.5 points @ 1.943

*All odds are provided by Pinnacle

-JanKeys

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