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Night 13 Premier League Darts Tips by James Punt

by | May 24, 2021 | Uncategorized | 0 comments

James Punt landed two nice winners from three recommended bets on Night 12. Jose De Sousa was advised to win -3.5L at odds of 3.25 and he beat Peter Wright 8-1. Over 8.5 maximums at odds of 2.05 was also a winning wager in the Van Den Bergh vs Anderson clash. Hopefully, we can do even more damage on Monday night. Check out our Night 13 Premier League darts tips below.

Night 13 Premier League: Jonny Clayton vs. Gary Anderson

An interesting puzzle. This is a big match for both players but arguably more so for Anderson. He is two points behind fifth-placed Clayton and a loss here and gets detached from the leading pack.

In terms of relative form, Anderson’s was in the ascendancy before the break and perhaps the break came at the wrong time for him. The last two nights of the second block of matches saw him average 104 .6 and 107.8. We know that Anderson is not the biggest practice fan and when he has returned from the first two breaks he has averaged 95 and 93. However, with the relaxing of lockdown restrictions, he may have finally been able to organise his planned practice sessions with Ryan Searle. In which case, he may hit the ground running.

Consistent Clayton

Jonny Clayton has been one of the most consistent players in the league and is averaging 100.17 (Anderson 97.3). However, despite winning three of his last four matches, his last two matches saw averages of 93.6 and 92.87, well sort of what is required. Perhaps the break came at the right time for him.

He spent part of the break going back to work for the council, getting a dose of normality. He had said before the break that for the first time he was thinking about his darts and the whole league thing, and that was having a detrimental effect on his performance.

Their H2H stats show a very healthy 10-2 lead for Gary Anderson but he lost their first phase match 7-4. That was Clayton’s first win against Anderson for over five years.

Harder To Predict

It is always a little harder to predict matches after a break. Will their form of two and a half weeks ago remain, or have changed? Certainly, Clayton has played the better darts after the last two breaks, but his form going into the most recent break has poor, while Anderson’s was on fire.

Jonny Clayton is the 2.20 favourite with Anderson 2.75 and the draw 4.75.

A match between the two worst double hitters in the league is likely to revolve around their performance on the outer ring. Clayton was struggling on the doubles before the break while Anderson was nailing them with checkout rates of 57% and 80% in his last two matches. For that reason, Anderson is the call.

Night 13 Premier League Tip: 1 point Gary Anderson to win @ 2.75 with SpreadEx, Skybet, Betfred

Jose de Sousa vs. Dimitri van den Bergh

An important match between the two housemates and management stable comrades. Jose de Sousa took the chance to spend the break with family in Portugal so he will be well refreshed.

Their H2H record sees De Sousa leading 3-0 and he won the first phase match 7-3. Van den Bergh averaged 98 to De Sousa’s 104 that night so it was a good standard with only one leg requiring more than 15 darts to win.

So far in the second phase Dimitri is averaging 104.6 but only got two points from the three matches. De Sousa was averaging 99.8 in his second phase matches.

This should be a belter if both players have retained that sort of form. De Sousa tops the 180 table with 66 and Dimitri is second on 52, so we should expect plenty of maximums. Both have played well after the breaks so that bodes well for a good match.

Will Returning Crowd Have An Influence?

The fact that we have a crowd back will be interesting. The general atmosphere will be more organic and it may play a part in some players game more than others. We know that Van den Bergh likes a crowd and is regarded as a much better stage player than floor player. That said, De Sousa has quickly become something of a fan favourite and I expect that the crowd will be on his side to a greater degree.

Dimitri van den Bergh is the 2.30 favourite, De Sousa 2.50 and the draw 4.75.

Given a H2H record that says 3-0 to The Special One, with a combined leg score of 20-12, it is a surprise to see Van den Bergh as the favourite. Yes, he was playing very well before the break, but he was losing matches. In total, he has spent five nights on top of the table but saw that drop to third place and only one point ahead of De Sousa and Clayton. If Clayton wins the opening match both these players will know they need a win to stay in the top 4.

De Sousa The Value

De Sousa took a while to settle into the league and after the first five nights, he was in the relegation places. Since then, he has moved up to fourth place and lost just one of his last eight matches, with two draws. He will be the more confident player. I would have De Sousa as the marginal favourite here and the value lies with him.

Both are hitting plenty of 180s, but De Sousa is hitting them at 0.485, Van den Bergh 0.385. Their first match saw 10, six for De Sousa. That match went to the tenth leg, but I would expect a closer match if Dimitri has retained his recent form.

Night 13 Premier League Tip:1 point Jose De Sousa to win @ 2.50 with Boylesports, Skybet, Ladbrokes
Night 13 Premier League Tip:1 point over 10.5 180s @ 2.20 generally available
Premier League Night 13 Tip: 0.5 point De Sousa to win 8-5 @ 7.00 with Betfred, Boylesports, Skybet

Nathan Aspinall vs. Michael Van Gerwen

MVG is back on top of the table, has won all three second phase matches and lost just one of his last eight with two draws. There are, however, still some question marks about his consistency. Even in the last group of three matches he had two in which he was unplayable, averaging 109.9 and 107.4, but in the middle was a 95.8 against Jonny Clayton. Now a 95.8 average is not bad, but it gives the other player a chance. Sadly, Clayton didn’t take it. In the first phase, his averages were all over the place, anything from 87 to 107.

Tonight MVG will have a crowd in and he is one of the players who has seen his form drop in the behind closed doors era. The same can be said for Nathan Aspinall. He needs a crowd to get him going.

Aspinall is second in the league but far from safe on 15 points and is lost his last two matches. The match we won, an 8-5 win over Peter Wright was a poor match with Snakebite averaging just 88.5, and his 6-8 loss to Jonny Clayton was another poor affair which saw The Asp average just 91.6.

MVG Edges H2H

Their H2H sees MVG leading 6-4 with one draw. Aspinall is a player who relishes playing Van Gerwen and he has inflicted some heavy defeats on him and when MVG has won, they have mostly been close.

This is tricky. Van Gerwen is a Jekyll and Hyde character when it comes to his form while Aspinall suffered a drop in form before the break. He has had a family holiday during his time out, so he is refreshed and with a crowd in and against a player he enjoys playing, I expect a big performance from Aspinall. That might not be enough if MVG is in Beast Mode.

Van Gerwen is the 1.85 favourite, Aspinall 3.40 and drifting, while the draw is 5.00. Those odds look about right but taking odds on about a player who is lacking consistency is risky. A close match with MVG edging it makes some sense.

Night 13 Premier League Tip: 1 point over 13.5 legs @ 2.30 with Ladbrokes
Night 13 Premier League Tip: 0.5 point MVG to win 8-5 @ 9.50 with Ladbrokes

James Wade vs. Peter Wright

Peter Wright has been struggling off the oche as his wife has health problems and requires more back surgery. That is a large part of why his form has dropped. He is bottom of the table and has lost five of his last seven matches. His only win in that time was against Glen Durrant and everyone beat him. Snakebite’s average in his three second phase matches was just 88.5 and clearly, that is not good enough.

James Wade has picked up just two points from his last four matches and he can’t afford to drop any points here. Amazingly he averaged 110 against MVG in his last match and lost 3-8, so his A game is still around.

Their H2H record is close, 21-19 to Wade with one draw. Wade won the first phase match 7-4. Wright averaged 98 that night, so he played well, but Wade averaged 105 and was the better player.

Tough To Call

This is hard to call. A lot depends on where Wright’s head is at. He said he didn’t want to be there when losing his last match 1-8 and averaging 84 against De Sousa. I do not know what the situation is with his wife and that is the key here.

James Wade is the 2.40 favourite, Wright 2.50 with a draw at 4.75.

Will the crowd be enough to raise Wright’s spirits or is he just going through the motions and keen to get home on Thursday night? The odds are just about good enough to back Wade.

Night 13 Premier League Tip: 1 point James Wade to win @ 2.40 with Boylesports

-JamesPunt

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